Tulse
Senior Member
So let's get more specific, malvern2 -- given everything you know, what do you think the actual probability is that there is a video of Ford appearing to smoke drugs? Give us a number -- 5% chance there's a video? 10%? What's your best guess?So where is the video?! It’s being referred to as “alleged†for a reason because NO ONE can confirm it exists, honestly until anyone objective I.E. NOT biased star reporters or “so-called†drug dealer chatter which cannot be confirmed by anyone other than “anonymous sources†can come forward and physically produce this video I consider it garbage from Ford haters.
The reason I think this is a useful exercise is that it gets away from dug-in certainty on either side and forces us all to confront how our beliefs change with the alleged evidence. As I said earlier, personally, given the evidence from police wiretaps (which occurred before the story broke in the press), the eyewitness accounts of two separate groups of journalists, the behaviour of Ford and his staff, Ford's proven association with drug dealers (including his own brother), Ford's history of substance abuse (including an arrest for marijuana possession and a DUI), and the comments by the police, I'd put the likelihood that the video exists at 95%. That is, I'm not 100% certain, but then again, I'm not 100% certain about anything.
So how about you? Given everything that you know, give us a number.