1. LRT and, especially, ICTS are not the waves of the future. ICTS worked well in Vancouver and is not being followed anywhere else, unless you count airport people movers. As for LRT, most transit planning academics have jumped ship to BRT - especially since light rail tends to do poorly in the decentralized landscapes of the sprawling third tier US cities that have "caught onto that reality". That's not to say that we should build BRT either. Following the "wave of the future" doesn't imply we have to get on board. That actually sounds like the stupidest reason to build rapid transit.
If it's cheaper to build than subway technology and yeilds more overall kms of servicable track getting mass transit closer to more densely populated neighbourhoods, then yes, it is the wave of the future. Not everyone resides in SCC and not everyone would find transferring onto a bus from this point to be
more convenient. Scarborough does not begin and end at SCC and I've yet to hear a convincing enough argument as to why it has to be
subways or nothing in order to access this location from the northwest.
Wait a minute. They dug a tunnel and built underground stations. They built elevated superstructures and a cable stayed bridge over a major river. What part of that resembles Transit City in any way? The Canada Line was a "heavy rail" subway more than a "light rail" streetcar by a long shot.
But still 19 kms for $1.9 Billion (or basically $100 million/km) yielding all
that is mighty impressive. That's what I was getting at. Attempting to do the same amount of mileage here alone would cost $5.7 Billion, and uber-technical stuff like extradosed bridges and elevated guideways, forget about it. I also contrast Vancouver to Toronto because their network has fully adopted interlining. Done here, it'd be possible to serve multiple trip generators by having two routes share the main body of track before branching off at a certain point to target specific terminii.
Enough with these f_cking density arguments. Wynford and the DVP has a higher density than Bloor West Village, so why does one have healthy subway ridership while the other one can subsist on a feeder bus?
Well in the forseeable future Don Mills and Eglinton will have two mass transit lines dissecting it, so the planners do seem to be catching on. Also Wynford Hts-Don Mills has a surface area 4x the land mass of Bloor West Village so it shouldn't be surprising that the population is more concentrated to the subway's vicinity, whereas the latter's residents' are more likely motorists.
Higher order transit is built because it makes sense to channel riders from a large catchment area into strategic corridors. The factors that influence transit ridership more than density are things like a) are there trip generators along the route? b) is the surrounding area easily connected to a node that could facilitate a rapid transit corridor, c) does the corridor provide a clear, competitive route for the natural and current movement of people across the region. Sheppard east from Don Mills to STC satisfies each of these criteria, and a hundred other ones that I haven't mentioned. It even has the density, if you're going to use that feeble argument.
Finch East easily satisfies all those factors more readily than Sheppard East:
a) Yes... Seneca College area (pop. 26,640), Bridletowne/L'Amoreaux area (pop. 45,865), Woodside Square area (pop. 30,160), Malvern
[MTC is situated closer to Finch Ave] (pop. 44,315), Morningside Hts-Rogue (pop. 43,180). Several of these neighbourhoods are already identified as Places to Grow and tied into larger projects.
NB- Agincourt by the way has a total population of 21,565 (2006 census, down nearly 1% from the 2001 census) with nothing else worth even mentioning directly off the Sheppard East corridor. STC is closer to Ellesmere.
b) Yes... Anticipated BRT/LRT up Don Mills, Warden, McCowan, Markham Rd, Morningside. Finch links them all and connects residents quickly to Fairview, NYGH, NYCC and a more southernly transfer point to the Yonge Subway for downtown-bound riders.
c) Yes... 39 Finch East= 40,700 daily boardings; 85 Sheppard East pre-subway average= 33,600 daily boardings. Rerouting buses into Don Mills Stn skews the numbers.
Finch is also a through continuous crosstown corridor, whereas Sheppard isn't. Finch LRT would also be within closer proximity to the Toronto-York border, meaning 905 residents benefit more by having greater accessibility to a major E-W rapid transit line.
How is the Sheppard subway a failure? 45,000 riders over 6 km is bloody amazing. Speaking of stimulating urban growth, all the construction along the route can't all be wrong.
If the walk-in usage of the intermediate stations were higher I would tend to agree with you. However, most of that 45,000 can be attributed to feeder routes artificially propping up Don Mills' total. Ultimately I think it is a good thing that the condo tract has developed; and makes me optimistic that passengers there would just as readily board LRT trains in the tunnel as they would the existing 4-car T1s.
Once one gets over the silly notion that Transit City's surface operation will in any way reflect that of the go-slow legacy streetcars, they come to believe in the transformative power of LRT; in their ability to sustain fast, reliable mass transit through communities that otherwise would be stuck with mere local bus routes.