FWLRT = $1.2 billion dollars in 2007. Since then...
- proposed Don Mills-Finch East extension
- proposed Woodbine Live/airport extension
- six added stops
- underground station at Keele
- possible elevated station at Humber College
Surely the total has gone up exponentially a result.
The lowball end figure alone could build at least 4-5 new kilometres of subways (and nowadays when every cent counts that's important). If the TTC was serious about alleviating Finch and other crosstown bus routes, they'd invest more in east-to-west subway expansion such as to minimize commuters dependency on buses. Replacing rubber tires with steel rail means nothing if they're all just feeders dumping loads onto overtaxed narrow-reaching metros (YUS in particular). Better to least make those rubber tires compatible to the subway instead of just inferior to it. BRT with emphasis on long-distance travel is precisely that and costs less than LRT which in turn frres up funding for metros.
The southern edge of the F.H.C. is within 300m of Finch proper (2 city blocks walking distance or under 4 mins for able-bodied pedestrians). Also the 36 bus would still exist only in reduced frequencies (due to lowered demand since most commuters from Rexdale and Jane-Finch would opt for F.H.C.). Win/win.The goal of the BRT is to create a more humane city, a city not for cars but for people. We dont need to be extravagant, we dont need another debt our children would carry. BRT only needs Political Will.
How are BRTs more expensive to operate than LRTs? The TTC is now wondering how it would continue operating its network. It’s losing a lot of money to think that its underpreforming routes are being subsidized by the provincial government. For it to be able to break even they will have to eventually charge $6 for every ticket. That’s like 200% fare increase. So, soon, the government will have to take over and spend billions for the upkeep of a system which only the ‘chosen few’ can enjoy (since the average Torontonian cannot sustain paying into the fare hike). LRT is not best for a city that can't pay its own maintenance costs because corridors like Finch West, esp. after the Finch-Keele Subway Stn, won’t have the necessary number of people riding it. It is not desirable to rely on national budget just to maintain its LRT scheme. There is no need for road widening, BRT if fully implemented would minimize private car use. So it can utilize the existing lanes. Ongoing passing lanes and road widening are not required.
As a matter of sense, LRT is more expensive to build. As a matter of fact, it is more costly and polluting to operate and slower than BRT. Why? Electricity is made from burning oil, coal or hydro-power. 1 time of changing the energy-form (from oil to electricity) will cause loss somehow. Then later, the electricity will be changed again to make kinetic energy to propel the LRT's cars which is also subject to some energy loss i.e. 2 times of loss. Meanwhile for the bus which burns oil directly, it will suffer from only 1 time of energy transformation. Slower than BRT? Because it doesn't have the exclusive ROW potential which the F.H.C. readily provides, plus more minor stops.
Trains can be longer than buses, packing more people in per pound of steel and per driver (although 3 car TC LRT trainsets will have less ridership capacity than 3-compartmented biartics utilized in European BRT systems). This avoids wasting money moving steel around. HOWEVER, all of this only applies if you have high volumes, of course. If you aren't running very many vehicles per day, the capital costs of the electric wires overwhelm the operating costs of the diesel engines; and of course there's no point running quarter-full trains when you could be running fully-full buses.
Please plan on doing a hiking trip of the Hydro Corridor from end to end next spring as well taking photo's of what next to it as well along it as you will be surprise what you will find. At the same time, time your walking distance to Finch itself at all major roads where you think stops should be.
Then double and triple that time as that what it will be for non able-bodied people and parents with kids. At the same time, calculate the travel time to get from the BRT to a point along Finch as riders will have to do double back tracking to get to/from the BRT vs staying on Finch in the first place.
You need to added the cost of built this so call BRT to your day to day operation cost to see what the real cost is for those few buses. At the same time, figure out what the cost ratio is to carry a rider per km as well the seat turn over ratio.
You need to set down and do a full cost breakdown between LRT and BRT to say which is the better way.
At the same time, you need to justify why a few riders get first class service well rest of Finch or what every route get third class service.
You are in a fact helping to create urban sprawl and that is one of my fear for all this GO expansion outside the area where it has operate before. GO in fact is leap frogging the greenbelt and helping to encourage low density and move industry out of the 416.
Looking at front in cost is the wrong way to look transit as it is the back end cost that going to make or break a transit route and system. It is a given BRT is the cheap boy in the room vs. LRT. 80% of operation cost is direct labour cost and that will continue to grow. Transit riders has to pay higher fares to cover that cost while at the same time they get no increase of service and see poor quality of service.
If drivers are getting 3% increase a year, you need to added in the other cost increase of material to put that driver on the road and one reason TTC is looking at a 6-7% yearly increase in operation cost.
Now start increasing transit fares by 6% yearly to see what it going to cost you to use transit and it will not take much to start keeping people in their cars as well use transit a lot less. Cash fare 2010 $3, $3.15-$3.20 in 2011, etc to see what I mean.
Take a guess what oil cost is going to be within the next 10-20 years as it will not be the $1 a liter we see today.