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Former President Donald Trump's United States of America

Trump talks about testing and how its increase is showing more cases, duh. What about the death rate, if the death rate is not increasing with the case numbers, does that not suggest that the mortality rate is less than expected? If the mortality rate is a constant ratio then increasing cases should lead to an equal number of increasing deaths.
 
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Mortality rate could be impacted by a number of factors including age of those who contract the virus, what we have learned re treatment, the availability of treatment and so on -- in Italy, for example, their hospitals couldn't handle the influx of patients. So far in the US, with the exception of NYC that has now settled down, the health care system has had the capacity. Also, there has been an inconsistency in reporting deaths -- some jurisdictions report home deaths, some don't. Some places report nursing home deaths, some don't.
 
Admiral Beez said:
Trump talks about testing and how its increase is showing more cases, duh. What about the death rate, if the death rate is not increasing with the case numbers, does not suggest that either the mortality rate is less than expected? If the mortality rate is the same content than increasing case this should see an equal number of increasing deaths.
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Not necessarily.

It depends, in part on who (which demographic) is becoming infected.

So if we know the largest number of deaths occur in those over the age of 60; and infections rise in that group, we would expect deaths to rise in line w/that.

However, if the infection rate is rocketing among twenty and thirty somethings we would expect a lower rate of severity and death.

I'm not sure what the demographics are in respect of rising cases in Florida, Texas and Arizona.
 
PinkLucy said:
Mortality rate could be impacted by a number of factors including age of those who contract the virus, what we have learned re treatment, the availability of treatment and so on -- in Italy, for example, their hospitals couldn't handle the influx of patients. So far in the US, with the exception of NYC that has now settled down, the health care system has had the capacity. Also, there has been an inconsistency in reporting deaths -- some jurisdictions report home deaths, some don't. Some places report nursing home deaths, some don't.
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Not sure about Florida, but I know in Texas that a pediatric hospital has started accepting adult patients in order to share the load.
 
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Florida's data is getting harder to mine ... but I have seen reports that the age of those who are contracting it is decreasing. A teenager died the other day (no info re comorbidities, but it made the news because her mother was an outspoken virus denier)
 
TheKingEast said:
Florida was cooking the books and really thought that they could get by with lying and deception. Typical Republican scumbag. Put lives on the line for politics. Some of these guys need to go to Prison.
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Well, the virus has a tendency to cut through BS. They can hide the stats -they can't hide people dying en masse and jammed ICUs easily.

AoD
 
TheKingEast said:
Florida was cooking the books and really thought that they could get by with lying and deception. Typical Republican scumbag. Put lives on the line for politics. Some of these guys need to go to Prison.
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Florida Governor DeSantis is apparently using Bolsonaro's playbook.
 
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