kEiThZ
Superstar
They need to be targeting well under 4hrs to make the service attractive.
You're looking at this wrong. Anything less than 5 hrs makes it competitive with bus and driving. At that point, it all comes down to price. And HFR is supposed to let them become more price competitive due to higher asset utilization. If they charged the same as Greyhound today and you could take the train to Montreal, would you not? How many people would still drive?
Speed has a cost. And it's not one that most people are willing to pay for non-business and non-urgent travel. But frequency, all-weather reliability and cost competitive service can work. Even if it's not a vast gain on driving or the bus.
And 3:10 hrs to Ottawa would be competitive enough with flying for a lot of people. It's less than 3.5 hrs downtown to downtown, for a trip that would take 2.5 hrs today to do that by air. For quite a few people the additional cost of air travel won't justify saving an hour.