I am obviously very strongly in the Anyone-But-Ford camp. I started off in January strongly in the Chow camp.
As time wore on and it became obvious that, miraculously, somehow, Saint Robbicus was in the race, I felt that I needed to vote strategically. Chow was stumbling, and I was afraid that a vote for her might allow Rob to squeak in. It all changed for me after the switcheroo. I believe that I can vote for Chow , secure in the knowledge that if she doesn't win, Tory will.
I believe that there are a fair number of people who prefer Chow but are voting Tory to keep Ford out. I think if those of us in the ABF camp, who prefer Chow to Tory, should vote for Chow. I have heard the scare mongering logic that a vote for Chow over Tory splits the vote, allowing Ford to come up the middle. The problem with that logic is that Chow is not far enough behind, and Ford not close enough to Tory, to lead to that scenario. If Tory loses enough votes to Chow to drop behind Ford, Chow will have gained enough to win over both.
I don't imagine Doug will get past 27% maximum, and likely will score even lower. I think many of us have long felt that the voter turnout for this election will be much higher than usual. This hunch is already coming to fruition through the advanced voting numbers. I don't believe polls have taken into account what should be a record voter turnout, likely due to the ABF camp. I do believe that polls will be seen to be way off on October 28th, with Chow and Tory closer to each other than expected, and Ford with a poor overall % in relation to Tory/Chow.