The question to be asked of a Peterborough commuter proposal is..... where do these commuters live? What communities will be served?
At present, the line runs through undeveloped green space all the way to Peterborough. There are a few small communities, who may be able to absorb some growth but wholesale development of this region is absolutely the wrong thing for Ontario or the GTA. That development would make a ton of money for developers but it would be hugely destructive to Southern Ontario's shrinking greenbelts and farmland.
This route has no prospect to serve the top of Durham Region, unless the Region doubles in size. Even then, if one assumes that development may be attracted along the 407 route, this rail line is too far north to be a competitor to the auto on the 407. And there is no congestion on that route, nor will there be for decades.
A *regional* line to Peterborough makes eminent sense, as P'boro is a fairly large town with good reasons to have connectivity to the GTA. However, the economics of reinstating express Toronto-Peterboro service aren't there. One could offer free bus service from Peterboro to GO in Oshawa and come out ahead compared to rebuilding the line just to serve Peterboro. If it proceeds, VIA HFR will accomplish that regional service with much better economics, as incremental addition to T-O-M rail service.
But please - no commuter service on this line.
- Paul
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