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Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 (nCoV-2019)

This from the US CDC points out that all the cleaning talk MAY make us feel better and certainly does no harm but Covid is almost completely spread by breathing it in. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/science-and-research/surface-transmission.html

Similar info in this article in Atlantic https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/04/end-hygiene-theater/618576/

Fomite transmission (transmission from inanimate objects) was almost entirely ruled out (as a significant source of infection) in the spring, by peer-reviewed research.

We went through this before with SARS and other than making disinfectant companies rich, and giving some people with chemical sensitivities rashes................

I do wish people would be more scientifically literate.

*** note, there are bacterial and viral germs that can be transmitted by surface contact, its just not material in this case.
 
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Fomite transmission (transmission from inanimate objects) was almost entirely ruled out (as a significant source of infection) in the spring, by peer-reviewed research.

We went through this before with SARS and other than making disinfectant companies rich, and giving some people with chemical sensitivities rashes................

I do wish people would be more scientifically literate.

*** note, there are bacterial and viral germs that can be transmitted by surface contract, its just not material in this case.

To be fair, in the earliest stages of the pandemic it is not clear how big, if any role formites have - and precautionary principle should (rightly) be at play then.

AoD
 
This from the US CDC points out that all the cleaning talk MAY make us feel better and certainly does no harm but Covid is almost completely spread by breathing it in. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/science-and-research/surface-transmission.html

Similar info in this article in Atlantic https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/04/end-hygiene-theater/618576/
I would like to tell building owners to stop cleaning elevator buttons compulsively, and instead to make sure the elevator fans are actually working.
 

I can almost bet that the "restrictions" that will be enacted today are toothless.

They need to restrict travel, close construction and initiate an enforced curfew if they want to reduce cases. Allow people to freely move around despite a stay at home order really does not do much. Free movement only allows people to gather and spread the virus to other people.

Ford really needs to stop listening to lobbyists and insiders when it comes to public health. Honestly, these are the times where I wish the feds would enact the emergencies act. Something needs to be done to prevent a disaster because Ford listens more to lobbyists than they do medical professionals.
 
Dated December, 2020...


Dated April 15, 2021...

Ontario could see over 18,000 new COVID-19 cases per day by end of May: source

From link.

Ontario could see well over 18,000 new daily COVID-19 infections — despite continuing vaccinations — if current trends continue, CBC News has learned from a government source.

New modelling details show additional public health measures could bring that number down closer to 10,000, sources say, however those measures would have to be considerably more restrictive to curb the rate of infection.
The modelling also shows up to 1,800 patients in intensive care by the end of May, according to the sources.

Projections released by the province two weeks ago had forecast up to 12,000 new cases per day with around 800-1,000 people in ICU by the end of April.

The Ontario cabinet is also considering the following proposals, which have not yet been formally approved:

  • Closing all non-essential retail, no curbside pick-up or delivery.
  • Further restricting retail hours of operation.
  • Restricting curbside pick-up (only permit non-essential retail to deliver).
  • Shutting down non-essential construction, warehouses and manufacturing not related to health, food or automotive.
  • Prohibiting all outdoor gatherings for non-family members in the same household.
  • Tightening capacity of indoor events like places of worship, weddings and funerals.
  • Increasing fines, increase policing powers.

Sources say Premier Doug Ford asked Alberta Premier Jason Kenney to send health-care workers to Ontario to help. Alberta has not yet made any commitments, the sources say.

Sources with knowledge of the request tell CBC News that Ford also made a similar request to Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe.

CBC News has also learned Ontario will make a formal request to the federal government for more than 600 critical care staff to support the province's hospitals with ICU occupancy. The formal request has not happened yet.

"We have received Ontario's draft letter," said Mary-Liz Power, spokesperson for federal Public Safety Minister Bill Blair.

"We are currently in discussions with the province to determine how best we can support them with more resources," she said, adding that the federal government is working closely with all provinces and territories to help support them amid the pandemic.

According to sources, the Ministry of Health has requested access to additional provincial money to tackle the third wave of the pandemic.

In a request that has not yet been formally approved, sources say the ministry is asking for up to $346 million for more health workers to support the creation of 1,000 incremental critical care beds in Ontario hospitals with high COVID-19 in-patient and ICU numbers.

The ministry is also looking at redeploying 1,000 staff from hospitals with lower COVID-19 patients and ICU occupancy to those with the highest ICU and in-patients.

This proposal has also not yet been formally approved.

"Premier Ford has said from the very beginning of this pandemic, that all options are on the table," Solicitor General Sylvia Jones said Thursday. "And that continues to be our philosophy as a cabinet and a caucus."

Jones, however, acknowledged the challenges a curfew would present in Ontario, pointing to the anti-curfew protests in Quebec.

"I think the Montreal riots speak to the challenge of both enforcing, and people's willingness to do a curfew," she said.

The Canadian Civil Liberties Association (CCLA) said a curfew would not help the public health crisis, and urged the government not to go down that road.

"Imposing a curfew is an admission that the government has run out of ideas," said Cara Zwibel, director of fundamental freedoms at the CCLA. "It is an unnecessary and disproportionate measure that is likely to do more harm than good."

On Thursday night, sources with knowledge of the discussions told CBC News the cabinet has decided against imposing a curfew.

The cabinet is expected to resume meeting Friday to discuss imposing further measures.
 
Ford and his government are entirely to blame for letting the situation deteriorate in the face of clear data... but this also exposes the limits of the health care system we say we love so much. Pennsylvania isn't doing well at the moment - it has a similar number of daily new cases in spite of its smaller population (2 million less than Ontario). But it has more than 3,500 ICU spaces, compared to about 2,000 in Ontario. They won't need to triage patients and send some to their deaths.
 
A followup to the construction shutdown, i did find this exerpt from an article yesterday, i guess we will find out later today.


Chief Medical Officer of Health Dr. David Williams is said to have recommended that cabinet shut down all non-essential construction, warehousing operations and manufacturing that is not related to health, food production or processing, or automotive manufacturing.
The recommendation to shut down construction was rejected, no word what will happen to the other sectors.
Cabinet is also being asked to consider banning all outdoor gatherings, including backyard meetings of people who are not in the same household. There was also a recommendation to tighten restrictions on places of worship, weddings and funerals.
Right now, places of worship are restricted 15% of their fire code capacity, while weddings and funerals are limited to 15% of capacity to a maximum of 50 people.
Is there evidence to suggest that there are sustained outbreaks on construction sites? Shutting down construction would be incredibly costly. I guess we will have to see if housing construction is viewed as "essential" or not.

It's curious that medical officers didn't prioritize vaccinations in close-contact work environments given the highest number of incidents at those places.
 
Ford and his government are entirely to blame for letting the situation deteriorate in the face of clear data... but this also exposes the limits of the health care system we say we love so much. Pennsylvania isn't doing well at the moment - it has a similar number of daily new cases in spite of its smaller population (2 million less than Ontario). But it has more than 3,500 ICU spaces, compared to about 2,000 in Ontario. They won't need to triage patients and send some to their deaths.

Having additional ICU capacity helps - but it is no panacea if you have exponential growth. The key is preventing the latter - failing at that, all else is academic.

AoD
 

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