TheKingEast
Senior Member
You brought up the silly comparisons.
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2018 Ontario Provincial Election Discussion
- Thread starter MetroMan
- Start date
You brought up the silly comparisons.
picard102
Senior Member
Did I? Where?
TheKingEast
Senior Member
Actually MTown brought it up and you agreed with him.
SunriseChampion
Senior Member
I didn't say I couldn't see why people would have something against Wynne. I said that hyperbolic language isn't conducive to healthy political discourse. Your response proves the point. I don't mind telling you that I don't support the current Liberal government (either one, in fact) but that doesn't mean I'll be getting food poisoning should they happen to be re-elected.
SunriseChampion
Senior Member
I wasn't making any comparisons to my list of psychotic tyrants but brought them up as examples of people the reaction to their coming to power might be more in line with certain digestive irritation.
King of Kensington
Senior Member
The Election Prediction site has been updated for the Ontario 2018 election.
http://electionprediction.org/2018_on/index.php
http://electionprediction.org/2018_on/index.php
SJD_Toronto
Active Member
It's interesting that many of the ridings that are listed as 'Too Close' are most likely to flip PC, like Barrie-Innisfil, Pickering-Uxbridge, Burlington, Markham-Stoufville, Kanata-Carlton and Newmarket-Aurora.
King of Kensington
Senior Member
They don't really have a serious methodology behind it. Just a place for political junkies to weigh in at the riding level.
I think virtually every PC seat in the province is safe at the moment (the one exception of Scarborough North a new seat mostly from Rouge River).
I think virtually every PC seat in the province is safe at the moment (the one exception of Scarborough North a new seat mostly from Rouge River).
SJD_Toronto
Active Member
I agree that I think all current PC seats are safe except I think Raymond Cho will lose to the NDP. That said, the PC party have a solid platform and message now and regardless of what some people here may think of Patrick Brown, he is a fantastic campaigner who will out campaign both Kathleen Wynne and Andrea Horvath at every turn. His team will be the best organized team to help get the vote out on June 7th. Unless there is some massive screw up, I'll be shocked if the Tories don't crush this election.
If I had to make my own guesses at this moment, these are my predictions (all which could change closer to the election):
Toronto (25 seats)
Liberal 12 – PC 6 – NDP 7
Greater Toronto-Hamilton Area (43 seats)
Liberal 8 – PC 26 – NDP – 9
Eastern Ontario (18 seats)
Liberal 5 – PC 13 – NDP 0
Southwestern Ontario (24 seats)
Liberal 1 – PC 16 – NDP 7
Northern Ontario (14 seats)
Liberal 1 – PC 5 – NDP 8
TOTAL
Liberal: 27
PC: 66
NDP: 31
A slim PC majority government with the NDP as the official opposition.
Videodrome
Senior Member
I am 100% certain that my riding will go to the PC's. Scarborough Centre has always had a seat on the government benches. I grew up in Scarborough-Agincourt, which is a Liberal stronghold on all levels.
SJD_Toronto
Active Member
I definitely think Scarborough Centre is going blue. I think Scarborough-Agincourt, Willowdale and Don Valley East have good chances of turning blue, as well.
King of Kensington
Senior Member
The federal Conservatives got over 40% of the vote in themost recent by-election, and the federal Liberals are far more popular than their provincial counterparts.
adma
Superstar
Actually, its 70s/80s predecessor swung back and forth btw/the NDP and PCs (and Liberals in 1987).
Videodrome
Senior Member
Yes, the map has changed, especially when the Mike Harris PC's reduced the number or ridings.
Not sure if I will end up voting for the PC's, but I am not bothered if my MPP isn't a Liberal.
I even see people talking about the provincial liberals bringing down their federal counterparts.
King of Kensington
Senior Member
Right now the polls are looking a lot like 2011 federally. On the other hand, Kathleen Wynne is a MUCH better campaigner than Michael Ignatieff was and has the advantage of being in a position to implement policy.