Urban Sky
Senior Member
Welcome to Urban Toronto and I hope that now that we have separated Transport Policy discussions from VIA Rail discussions, we will be able to keep both threads more focused...!Hi everyone. I'm new to the forum and to the discussion.
I will briefly attempt to address some of the points you've raised:
The lack of details available to the public frustrates nobody more than myself, but I struggle to see how you could publish exact routings as long as relying on private investors remains on the table, as it would mean second-guessing what compromise between achievable travel time and capital costs a private investor would be willing to accept. Once you release a map which shows a station in X and a bypass around Y, these routing options might come impossible to change, regardless of how negatively they might affect the IRR of the project. Therefore, it might be much less harmful to first hammer down the rough cost envelope (and its distribution between the various investors) before asking the public for input on the particularities of the route, stations and target schedules...One of such points relates to the fact that VIA publicly stated that HFR is imperative if we want to eliminate congestion and conflicts with CN. It's now late December 2020 and we haven't seen — yet! — a detailed account of the route selected for the Corridor.
First, a Toronto-Montreal currently operates the first 33 km over Metrolinx territory and the remaining 506 km over CN's transcontinental main route. Conversely, HFR (assuming that it would follow the route used by historic Toronto-Havelock services) would leave Metrolinx territory already after 8.5 km (of which the last 4 km have been disused for the last 30 years) at Leaside, then share an existing freight corridor (not necessarily: the tracks!) for 13.5 km until Agincourt and then again for another 21 km (between Glen Tay and Smiths Falls) and for the final 67 km (between De Beaujeu and Montreal's Gare Centrale, if we believe the map in that Globe and Mail article). This would mean that VIA would own approximately 470 out of the 580 km between Toronto and Montreal, thus increasing its ownership share of that corridor from currently zero to over 80%.At present, and given the data available to the public, their claim remains unsubstantiated: VIA trains would still need to access Union Station in Toronto, would still need to pass through Metrolinx/GO territory (possibly via Bala Sub), would need to run on CP Belleville Sub and avoid CP Toronto Yard before getting on the (renewed/rebuilt) Havelock Sub. The same map also seems to suggest a route from Montréal to Québec via the Mount Royal Tunnel, which — AFAIK — will be used exclusively by the REM.
Second, if you look up recent satellite footage of CP's North Toronto Yard, you might notice that avoiding it has become much less difficult to achieve compared to only 10 years ago...
Third, if MTRL-QBEC was absolutely vital to HFR it would have been included into its first phase from Day 1 and not after energetic lobbying of political and business leaders in Quebec. In the best case, the political leaders in Quebec and Ottawa grant a funding envelope and auxiliary legislation which allows HFR to continue beyond Montreal towards Quebec City or the province of Quebec misses out on this unique chance to reverse its decades-long decline in its share of VIA's Corridor train-mileage as HFR will expand towards Windsor instead.
An traditional incremental approach was last attempted when triple-tracking parts of the Kingston Subdivision, but costs exploded and benefits evaporated in a way which is why I would call investing any more money without significant transportation policy changes as a "pay and pray" strategy...My problem with this approach is that HFR has the same problems as other HSR (mega)projects: it doesn't follow an incremental approach.
I agree that if we were to attempt anything as ambitious as constructing a HSR corridor with 12 tunnels of a total length of 27 km (13% of total distance) in Canada, it would take just as long. However, rebuilding the trackbed and restoring the tracks on a ROW which already existed a few decades ago is orders of magnitudes simpler than the degree of legal battles, environmental assessments (EA), property acquisitions, geological analysis and earthwork required for a greenfield HSR development.From an infrastructure point of view, building an entirely new line between two cities requires an enormous amount of time. Peterborough to Smiths Falls is approximately 200 km as the crow flies. We can easily compare it to the Rome–Naples HSR (204.6 km), which opened in sections between December 19th, 2005, and December 13th, 2009. Work on the line officially commenced in 1994 and, leaving aside the infamous Italian bureaucracy and various technical problems, the line opened to traffic 11 years later. When it was opened to traffic, the line used provisory interconnections to the conventional network, so it took 4 more years to complete the whole project.
Assuming that enthusiastic Canadian contractors were able to build the Peterborough–Smiths Falls section in a third of that time, construction would still take 5 years with VIA still struggling on the Kingston Sub. If the contract were to be awarded on January 1st, 2021, and that won't be the case, we wouldn't see any kind of improvement whatsoever at least until early 2026. And that assuming nothing goes wrong.
Me neither, but I don't see any alternative which has any chance of getting approved, funded, constructed and opened within the next decade. Every year we delay the go-ahead on a project which is as close to shovel-ready we've never come before just in hope for finding a better project, is a year lost for any efforts to get intercity passenger rail out of the tiny niche it currently occupies in this country...No, I don't think HFR to be the best solution for passenger traffic on the Corridor.
The HFR proposal is incremental in a sense that it takes the parts of the infrastructure VIA already owns (e.g. between De Beaujeu and Smiths Falls) and strings it together with underused or disused ROWs to create a rail corridor which is as independent from host railroads as possible given a constrained budget...Apparently, we have a different understanding of what incremental development means: if you have to build a line basically from scratch, that's an "abrupt" development. It means that it would take years to get to the result without experiencing anything in the meantime.
The most recent HSR Study broke down the construction costs into 13 different items (A-M), of which 9 (A-I) refer to the actual construction of the line. Of these 9 construction-related items, one (Power Supply) is basically inapplicable to HFR (beyond fuel plants at the maintenance and layover facilities) and for 4 (A-D) of these 9 items, the planning, engineering and construction requirements are orders of magnitude lower for HFR with its (pre-)existing alignment and 110 mph speed limit than they are for a greenfield HSR line:I wouldn't be overlooking the technical difficulties of that. Sure enough, said corridor would allow only 110 mi/h operations, but the differences end there. The undertakings required to build any rail corridor are basically the same, no matter the target speed.
I have bad news if you expect to be able to clean the existing trail and put the rails back, just like that. In this case, there's almost nothing to be rejuvenated! You would literally mean to bulldoze, take away the existing rail bed, build a new one complete of drainage and the like — unless you wish the ROW to be washed out completely the moment it starts raining seriously — and only then you can think about ballast, tracks, signals...
From an engineering point of view, again, there's not much difference to an HSR project. It's just a cheaper one.
Compiled from: Ecotrain Study (2011, deliverable 6 - Part 1 of 2)
Note: re-post from #7,381
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