Midtown Urbanist
Superstar
I really do not understand why everyone here is arguing about the viability of York Region's master plan, or whether the Yonge North extension has the ridership potential to warrant subway vs. LRT vs. Metro technologies. It is totally besides the point!
There. Is. No. Capacity. On. The. Yonge. Line.
Whether York Region likes it or not, the Unilever site and the accompanying Portlands area is going to proceed ahead with development. Unilever is planning for over 10,000,000 square feet of office space. For reference, Canary Wharf in London is 14 million square feet. The accompanying areas in the Portlands is slated for mixed use development, and the downtown core will not stopping growing in office space either. If York Region really believes that they will be able to compete with downtown Toronto's shoulder area for office space, then best of luck to them.
But again, it is totally besides the point. Whether York Region's master plan pans out or not, there already is a substantial number of riders coming into Finch Station from York Region. The debate between LRT vs Subway vs Metro misses the point because regardless of which technology (which should definitely be subway btw) because regardless of which technology is chosen, we would still be dumping thousands of peak point riders onto the over-capacity Yonge subway line!
The projections have been very very clear. Even with the Spadina Extension, with ATC, with 5 minute headway SmartTrack, with the Relief Line running to Danforth, the Yonge Line will still be at or over capacity in 2041. There is no room for additional riders from York Region on the Yonge Line.
What is worse, is that we are banking so heavily on ATC, when it's capacity-increasing ability is highly variable to service delays and the human factor. If the doors cannot close at Bloor-Yonge because the station is overcrowded, then the entire subway line is delayed. If a passenger-service alarm is pulled, which will happen more regularly when you are dealing with an overcrowded subway, the entire subway line is delayed. That 36,000 capacity cited with ATC will become not much better than today's 28,000 when we consider these very real everyday factors.
Proceeding ahead with the Yonge North extension now is effectively dooming the region to ridiculously congested conditions. There would be no standing room at Sheppard let alone at Eglinton! Eglinton Station will look worse than Bloor-Yonge does today, and Bloor-Yonge I don't even want to think about. We would be jeopardizing the growth and vitality of the entire GTHA just to placate a few York Region riders who today altogether don't even number greater than the 44 Dufferin Bus.
We cannot continue with the Yonge North extension until after the Relief Line is built to Sheppard-Don Mills. As shown by the Metrolinx study, it is the ONLY way to adequately provide relief to the Yonge Subway. With 11,600 riders taken off of the Yonge Subway, we can (and should) proceed with the Yonge North extension.
There. Is. No. Capacity. On. The. Yonge. Line.
Whether York Region likes it or not, the Unilever site and the accompanying Portlands area is going to proceed ahead with development. Unilever is planning for over 10,000,000 square feet of office space. For reference, Canary Wharf in London is 14 million square feet. The accompanying areas in the Portlands is slated for mixed use development, and the downtown core will not stopping growing in office space either. If York Region really believes that they will be able to compete with downtown Toronto's shoulder area for office space, then best of luck to them.
But again, it is totally besides the point. Whether York Region's master plan pans out or not, there already is a substantial number of riders coming into Finch Station from York Region. The debate between LRT vs Subway vs Metro misses the point because regardless of which technology (which should definitely be subway btw) because regardless of which technology is chosen, we would still be dumping thousands of peak point riders onto the over-capacity Yonge subway line!
The projections have been very very clear. Even with the Spadina Extension, with ATC, with 5 minute headway SmartTrack, with the Relief Line running to Danforth, the Yonge Line will still be at or over capacity in 2041. There is no room for additional riders from York Region on the Yonge Line.
What is worse, is that we are banking so heavily on ATC, when it's capacity-increasing ability is highly variable to service delays and the human factor. If the doors cannot close at Bloor-Yonge because the station is overcrowded, then the entire subway line is delayed. If a passenger-service alarm is pulled, which will happen more regularly when you are dealing with an overcrowded subway, the entire subway line is delayed. That 36,000 capacity cited with ATC will become not much better than today's 28,000 when we consider these very real everyday factors.
Proceeding ahead with the Yonge North extension now is effectively dooming the region to ridiculously congested conditions. There would be no standing room at Sheppard let alone at Eglinton! Eglinton Station will look worse than Bloor-Yonge does today, and Bloor-Yonge I don't even want to think about. We would be jeopardizing the growth and vitality of the entire GTHA just to placate a few York Region riders who today altogether don't even number greater than the 44 Dufferin Bus.
We cannot continue with the Yonge North extension until after the Relief Line is built to Sheppard-Don Mills. As shown by the Metrolinx study, it is the ONLY way to adequately provide relief to the Yonge Subway. With 11,600 riders taken off of the Yonge Subway, we can (and should) proceed with the Yonge North extension.