I still don't buy the mayoral run - looks more like a provincial play in Etobicoke North. Also don't trust what Kouvalis or Doug says.
Here are all of the 2018 ridings where DoFo pulled >50% of the vote in the mayoral race:
2018 Provincial Riding : 2014 City Wards : Provincial Incumbent : Party : Margin : 2018 PC Candidate
Etobicoke North : 1,2 : Qaadri : Liberal : 0.449 : NONE
Humber River Black Creek : 7 : Sergio : Liberal : 0.467 : Musarat
York Centre : 8,9 : Kwinter : Liberal : 0.472 : Baber
York South-Weston : 11,12 : Albanese : Liberal : 0.479 : NONE
Scarborough Centre : 37,38 : Duguid : Liberal : 0.549 : Surma
Scarborough Agincourt : 39 : Wong : Liberal : 0.497 : Babikian
Scarborough North : 41 : Cho : PCPO : 0.386 : Cho?
Scarborough Rouge Park : 42 : Cho : PCPO : 0.386 : Thanigasalam
Assuming Cho runs again, the only open ridings are Etobicoke North and York South-Weston. The Tories came third in YSW in 2014, and the riding association seems to be just a fencepost. In EN the Tories finished second and the riding association president is a Rob Ford supporter. Therefore, the only real option for Doug is EN.
Now, you have to ask why the timing of Doug's appearance. It's either to:
- push the Tories into letting him run in EN by demonstrating his popularity
- the Tories are about to nominate someone else in EN and he wants to get in front of the story
- he truly thinks he can win the mayoral race,
- he wants to run for mayor and this is to keep Keesmat out of the press, or
- he's a publicity-seeking sociopath and won't run for anything
Of these the most likely are 1 and 5. Given the uphill battle for mayor / time and effort to run municipally vs. provincially / ability to "whip the vote" of Etobicoke PCs I'd say his most likely option is 1.