allabootmatt
Senior Member
Indeed. This whole exercise is bizarre, and the end result will be the same as it would have without the consultants: the mayor's office will have to make political decisions about what it thinks can pass Council, and attempt to get that package through.
All that said, I wonder if we aren't missing the point of all this budget scaremongering. One evaluation of the 'sky is falling' message coming out of Fordland is that the mayor and his allies are looking for every excuse to slash and burn programs they never liked.
But what if the real play is the opposite? $774 million of 'opening pressure' isn't totally out of whack with what the City routinely handled in the Miller years. Already we are hearing that the real gap is considerably smaller, thanks to the usual conservative accounting in the previous year. It seems at least plausible to me that the Fords are hoping to look like heroes for slaying what everyone thought was a gigantic fiscal dragon with relatively little pain -- ie, the usual combination of a modest tax increase, some small cuts here and there, and a bit of accounting jiggery-pokery to get to zero at the last minute. Such a solution would allow the Fords to burnish their 'gravy-fighter' image by dealing with the deficit without much damage to frontline services, and would avoid what could be a very bruising defeat if centrist councillors balk at deep program cuts this Fall. All that, while disproving the lefties' contention that Ford times are hard times.
That would, it seems to me, be the most politically astute way to do this for the mayor and his cronies. Whether he's more interested in ideology and score-settling remains to be seen, of course.
All that said, I wonder if we aren't missing the point of all this budget scaremongering. One evaluation of the 'sky is falling' message coming out of Fordland is that the mayor and his allies are looking for every excuse to slash and burn programs they never liked.
But what if the real play is the opposite? $774 million of 'opening pressure' isn't totally out of whack with what the City routinely handled in the Miller years. Already we are hearing that the real gap is considerably smaller, thanks to the usual conservative accounting in the previous year. It seems at least plausible to me that the Fords are hoping to look like heroes for slaying what everyone thought was a gigantic fiscal dragon with relatively little pain -- ie, the usual combination of a modest tax increase, some small cuts here and there, and a bit of accounting jiggery-pokery to get to zero at the last minute. Such a solution would allow the Fords to burnish their 'gravy-fighter' image by dealing with the deficit without much damage to frontline services, and would avoid what could be a very bruising defeat if centrist councillors balk at deep program cuts this Fall. All that, while disproving the lefties' contention that Ford times are hard times.
That would, it seems to me, be the most politically astute way to do this for the mayor and his cronies. Whether he's more interested in ideology and score-settling remains to be seen, of course.