NOTE to readers: Beamsville is between Grimsby and St. Catharines/Niagara Falls
I would not be surprised if Beamsville gets a GO station before Grimsby.
Why? I know the guy, met him a few times.
The guy behind this used to work in Hamilton, and he helped flip a few transit dominoes. Lincoln poached him away from Hamilton.
Beamsville now has local transit service, and Grimsby does not! Michael is working to deploying
transit expansion there! In that small unknown place between Grimsby and St.Cat, essentially a suburb in middle of nowhere! Kudos to Michael Kirkopoulos for pushing a GO station instead of screaming about 403 widening. Would prefer to see more upgrades to the Grimsby subdivision instead of QEW width expansions, all the way through eventual electrification (especially if/when Empire Corridor electrifies in tomorrow's climate-change pressures).
I met Mike for the purposes of the LRT Advocacy endeavours, he helped some of the initial initiatives long before Metrolinx had local staff. Mike used to work for City of Hamilton (
LinkedIn - Director of Corporate Communications and Intergovernmental Affairs) and I met him a few times for community-relations purposes. We talked over many things (including the theoretical Gage Road GO station) and he's pretty well-informed about GO. Mike is also more of an urbanist and pro-transit (LRT/GO) than the average suburban councillor.
Though some there are inspired by the Innisfil Uber Experiment, and other controversial “creative solutions”, they at least deployed a minibus transit service that now appears in transit apps and Google Transit — something you can’t do in Grimsby. And ridership was a third beyond predictions.
Note: Hamilton LRT Advocacy, which I founded in 2015, has historically been an instrumental contribution in several initiatives -- many delegations to City Hall -- and our advocacy's successful Gage Park LRT Station initiative that succeeded (original spark, CBC amplification, TheSpec amplification, resulting success, since people overwhelmingly asked for the station at the PIC). The successor to the Hamilton LRT Advocacy is now #yesLRT.
Importantly, I hope Beamsville GO is more TOD than average (than a parking lot), but it does fill a gap between Grimsby and St. Catharines. Zone the area around it at higher-than-suburban density.
Kirkopoulos can easily out-pace Grimsby to the point where Beamsville GO beats Grimsby GO in becoming an active stop on the Niagara line. It would just simply take a 1-to-2-year delay to Grimsby -- and an accelerated Beamsville TOD development plan (nondetached+walkable+uLinc+GO) in 38 acres owned by a Beamsville developer currently willing to cover a significant chunk of Beamsville GO station cost (in line with the new Metrolinx focus) -- and Beamsville might be seeing service first. The beginnings of amenities are next to there (a Sobey's supermarket and strip mall, plus also the 403 highway stop amenities is within a walking distance too) so that little patch is ripe for densifying beyond detached home density if you bring walkable+uLinc+GO together in that 38 acre location. The
Beamsville Secondary Plan PIC slides has diagrams of
4 to 7 storey buildings. They appear to be planning-this-out on this faster than Grimsby is
including the recent introduction of Beamsville's first permanent transit system. They are preparing to zone for urbanization-densification. Streetviewing the area shows the surrounding area appears clearly easily ready for urban-towns and lowrises (4 to 7 storey) apartment/condo blocks to initially begin with, and doesn't steal any existing Niagara vineyards. There's already a developer willing to help build Beamsville GO station and
already owns that 38 acres next to the rail corridor --
a developer that Grimsby doesn't seem to yet have (as far as I know).
In the new TOD+developer focus of Metrolinx, non-taxpayer money will easily leapfrog Beamsville ahead of Grimsby, especially I know Mike Kirkopolous is friendly to transit+densification, and he has a way of diplomatically baby stepping the suburb community towards sensible TOD inclusion in the town.
Therefore, I rate Beamsville 50% chance of getting a real GO station before Grimsby.
Who knows?