Just look at the Electoral College map. All comes down to Wisconsin. This election is going to be a lot closer than people think with a high probability that Trump is elected.
Younger Democrats like Ocasio-Cortez are just clueless. They think their policies will sell in Alabama just as they will in New York. They are attacking red state Democrats like Joe Manchin instead of seeing people like that as assets.
If Sanders wins the nomination, I'm predicting Trump wins the general in a Mondale style blowout. Anybody who really believes that the average American Boomer (dominate swing states) will vote for a guy who vacationed in the Soviet Union are fools. Trump is not going to give him the kid glove treatment that Clinton did.
All that said general change is coming. And it's huge. 2020 is first election where there are as many Millennials as Boomers and more Gen Z than Silent Generation. By 2024, Boomer and Silent Generation concerns like white grievance identity politics will be toast.
The 2020 U.S. presidential election is rapidly coming into view – and so is the electorate that will determine its outcome. While demographic changes
www.pewsocialtrends.org
The GOP will have gotten 30-40 years of a conservative judiciary out of Trump. But that generational change will be painful. They had better hope Trump doesn't win in 2020 or they'll be shut out for a generation. Trump is turning off millennials (now in their 30s and many pushing 40) at a record pace.