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An increase from 7 bike sharing systems in 2002 to 497 in 2012 sounds like a fad to me. The biggest increase was from 2009-2010 around the recession. Also a lot of these bike sharing systems (including the one in Toronto) have gotten into financial trouble. Bixi which used to run the bike share system in Toronto went bankrupt in 2014. My guess is that if TD has not sponsored "Bike Share Toronto" then it would have shut down. Most of these bike sharing systems are underused.
Bike sharing systems have
existed since the 1960s
However, they only became popular recently thanks to:
- Technology that makes it easier to track the bikes
(e.g. station electronics or bike electronics)
- Improve convenience even further, easier to find and take bike.
(e.g. smartphone apps, evolution of easier parking, like bikelocker -> BIXI -> SoBi docks anywhere using electronic U-bar -- at any fence/rack/stopsign/pole/etc)
- Make them less appealing to theft
(e.g. GPS tracking, the invention of credit cards, etc)
Also,
BIXI is not a good financial example.
The smartbike systems, and other systems, covers operating costs better.
The SoBi bike-share systems are more financially self-sufficient.
They use newer technology to make bike sharing systems cheaper: Cheap racks by putting electronics , and installing solar-powered GPS trackers on the bikes themselves, and allowing them to be parked anywhere with their
electronic U-bar, and combined with crowdsourced bike redistribution (credits given when returning bike to an official rack) to reduce operating costs. Currently, no SoBi system in the world has experienced the financial difficulties that BIXI type systems have experienced, and it is expected that this type of system will become far more popular as years passes.
For example, Ottawa and Hamilton now use SoBi-powered bike share systems.
Ottawa SoBi example:
Ottawa switched from their ultrasmall BIXI system to a small SoBi system. Ottawa's system is extremely tiny, with only 300 bikes, but according to their experience, has more ridership now than with the old BIXI, thanks to their ability to spread a bigger number of cheaper bike racks (no electronics) around, and letting people park bikes anywhere (away from stations, no full-station worry).
Hamilton SoBi example:
Despite fewer bikes in a more automobile-optimized city than Toronto, with hardly any rapid transit at all in comparison,
Hamilton apparently out-bikeshared Toronto right out of the gate. Toronto has 1000 BIXI, while Hamilton has only 750 SoBi. Bike Share Toronto (in 5 years) only has ~4000
active members, while Hamilton (in 6 months!) now has
over 6000 active members. Toronto's system went bankrupt, while Hamilton achieved 100% operational reimbursement right away in the first year.
Operating costs of SoBi systems in cities that have deployed them, have been remarkably low compared to BIXI! For example, the Hamilton SoBi system has the annual operating cost of
only 1 city bus, it now serves more members (6000+) than the number of distinct users of a specific low-usage suburban bus (less than 5000 different people regularly using a specific suburban bus route annually), and
more bike rides on bikeshare than annual passengers on an entire bus route (yet costs operationally less than operating just one city bus vehicle!). Unlike the bus that needs to be subsidized, the Hamilton SoBi system has
100% farebox recovery. Case in point, Hamilton has more paid members-per-bike (~8) than BIXI Montreal (~7), despite only starting up this year! Clearly, this is a good use of infrastructure money for almost any city, if a low-cost system is deployed properly.
Worldwide, BIXI-style-systems are not as good as the newer SoBi-style-systems (smartbikes with solar-powered GPS+LTE computers builtin) especially with the inconvenience of approaching a full dock -- newer SoBi-type systems have no such limitation as you can dock to any fence/pole/plain bike rack nearby. As bikeshare becomes more and more attractive by reducing cost and inconveniences, it attracts more members per bike, and becomes more feasible to deploy. Hamilton's SoBi now has Even Toronto Bike Share is considering scrapping BIXI and looking for an alternate lower-cost system that could be more convenient for users. (The $4.9M grant can cover a SoBi fleet stretching all the way from Liberty Village all the way to the Beaches).
My house is apparently within the SoBi zone, so I often grab a SoBi to the GO train station. Taking a SoBi randomly and spontaneously is now as easy as punching a 6-digit electronic code into the solar powered GPS tracking computer. Then I do a 1-way bike trip to the GO station to catch the train. There is no full dock station worry; since SoBi lets you dock the bike anywhere, even a parking meter pole -- like the one right next to the John Street teamway if I'm in a rush. No worry about weather or bike theft, I can go home a different way, like a bus, Uber, taxi, or a Kiss-n-Ride home.
Smart bikes move beyond the BIXI cost-inefficiencies, and as technology improves, becomes more popular even in lower-density situations.
(Credit:
Santa Monica city council report)
For this system, you don't need expensive docks or kiosks.
With such smart bikes quickly becoming the preferred choice over dock-based bike share system -- at least for new small-scale and mid-scale deployments (2014-). A city can buy more than 2x the number of smartbikes for the same capital cost as a traditional "dock-based" bikeshare system which cost several thousand dollars and costs more than installing low-cost ruggedized solar GPS trackers on all bikes.
They have finally become cost-effective in cities of lower densities, and introduces a new parallel public transit system.
- You see nearest bike in app map.
- Enter your membership code into the bike's numeric pad, to instantly unlock bike.
(in some cities, just tap bus fare card -- like their equivalent of Presto!)
- Do your 1-way bike trip.
- Finish by locking anywhere to any pole or plain bike rack using electronic U-bar.
- Done!
The solar+dynamo+battery powered GPS tracker (+3G/LTE) and nonstandard parts instantly discourages losses by bike theft. No full dock worry. Newer low-cost smartbike bike sharing systems now has capital cost per passenger & operational cost per passenger than a suburban city bus. Properly deployed, public transit bikes make excellent transit connectors to motorized public transit routes.
Some cities are now experimenting/reprogramming them to let you use your bus/subway transfer to also use these bikes, to do your "last mile connection".
This can beat waiting for a bus if the GO station (or subway station) is only a 10 minute bike ride away, especially if a nearby bike is ready to grab with bike stations less than 300 meters apart and instantly visible on an app map. One-way bike rides, park-and-forget, no wait, no maintenance, quicker unlock/lock (less fiddling), no full-docks worry (unlike BIXI), no weather/theft worry.
Lest not forget the
condo dwellers, with the "spectacular condo kablooie" going on in the core parts of 416, and the
inconvenience of pulling a bike from balcony or underground parking -- it's easier to use bikeshare. You just quickly grab a bikeshare bike next to the condo (In fact, for this reason, I used to have a BIXI membership when I was a condo dweller in downtown Toronto).
As time passes and technology improves,
technology falls in cost, bike sharing systems are really truly here to stay, considering their
excellent bang-for-buck public transit economics -- with newer systems costing less than passengers on a bus route but having more bike ridership than the said bus route. It should not be a replacement for buses/subways, but it is an excellent supplement, when properly deployed. Done well,
100% farebox recovery, they are cost-effective
excellent public transit connectors.