"It seems clear from the responses to the report, not to mention the tub-thumping of the local politicians, that nearly no one is actually going to absorb the analysis or implications of the report, but rather most people are going to continue to call for a subway because, approximately, "it would be so cool to have one."
Everyone knew what the results of this study would be before it was released...everything in it is obvious. Everyone in Scarborough wants a subway but already realized there's a very good chance it won't happen because of the cost. The study didn't bother to examine how the various options might be paid for, which alignments they might take, what will be done to get people to the subway during construction, what time savings or losses might be expected, etc.
"Evidently either updating the existing RT infrastructure or converting it to LRT would provide enough capacity for a few decades."
And then what, another study? Another orphaned link in the TTC network?
"Building a subway, at two to four times the cost, would eliminate three of the stops on the current line and strand any development that has already occurred there."
This is not an issue. McCowan, Midland, and Ellesmere can afford to be lost since combined, only about 5000 people use them a day, the overwhelming majority of whom are dropped off by cars or buses and who can, therefore, be dropped off at a slightly different location, perhaps even a more accessible location. If the Sheppard line is extended, there will be a stop on Midland two blocks north of Ellesmere, and a STC stop on the B/D line, depending on its alignment, may still serve the area east of McCowan to a reasonable degree. As for development, there hasn't been a heck of a lot aside from STC so practically nothing will be stranded. If the stop at Lawrence is right at or just west of Brimley, it'll be within walking distance of the high-rises at Midland & Lawrence. The townhouses put up at Lawrence and Ellesmere will no longer be right at the RT but will still be a 5 minute bus ride or less away from a subway station which might even save time overall.
"So little of the capacity of the subway line would be used that surely the TTC would send only every second or third train all the way to STC. If the Sheppard line were also extended, something like 1/6 of the total capacity of the two lines would be in use within the next 25 years."
Are there any subway lines in the world that are at crush load capacity at terminus stations even during rush hour? Maybe Tokyo? I find the ridership forecast for 2021 to be low - Councillor Thompson seemed to to, as well.
"On the basis of the slide presentation alone, the cost figures for the RT and LRT options appear to include reconfiguring Kennedy for a better connection - possibly platforms at ground or the mezzanine level. This would mitigate much of the dissatisfaction with the current service, as would more frequent and less crowded service."
Soberman implied that one level between the subway and the RT replacement might be removed and that escalator/stair placement would be rejigged no matter what option is picked. It would make the service less awful, sure, but it still wouldn't be good. I'd still avoid it whenever possible.
"1.2 billion to buy fewer, not more, rapid transit stations"
The reduction in the number of stations is only an issue to, literally, a couple of hundred people.
"Or might they opt to spend the same pile of cash on a larger flexible LRT network"
If that's what will happen, we should propose $10 billion worth of new subways in Scarborough and then demand the difference for other projects.