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2023 Toronto Mayoral by-election

Who gets your vote for Mayor of Toronto?

  • Ana Bailao

    Votes: 18 16.4%
  • Brad Bradford

    Votes: 3 2.7%
  • Olivia Chow

    Votes: 58 52.7%
  • Mitzie Hunter

    Votes: 2 1.8%
  • Josh Matlow

    Votes: 20 18.2%
  • Mark Saunders

    Votes: 4 3.6%
  • Other

    Votes: 5 4.5%

  • Total voters
    110
  • Poll closed .
My take:

Olivia Chow won but didn’t blow this out of the water. Scarborough is the reason she is the new mayor. The next 3.5 years is going to be rough no matter what - so much to do and work on. I hope Toronto gets better under Mayor Olivia Chow, however, it’s going to be a bumpy ride. If she has a somewhat disappointing 3.5 years, she’ll be seen as weak. If she is seen as a champion who is on the right path, she’ll get a full term in 2026.

That said, Ana Bailao bet the expectations. She was very close to winning this. it wouldn’t shock me if she runs again in 2026. My hope is other possible candidates get behind her and her team is laser focused on keeping Etobicoke, grabbing all of North York and push hard for Scarborough. She gets all that for the win. Make no mistake… Ana Bailao could be a mayor in waiting.
 
Bailao will probably find that working for a developer in the private sector more lucrative and rewarding than trying to take on an incumbent Mayor Chow. Three years is a long time in politics.
 
A Scarborough and Downtown alliance to defeat Etobicoke and North York?
Knowing how the Layton-Chow household operated and operates, I'd imagine it'd be more about healing divides than Ford-style settling of scores.
 
#
I am very pleased with Olivia Chow’s victory. For many reasons, of course, but my top reason is the symbolic one: a kick in the shins to the old guard.
Me too. Of course those that vote for populists, including Trump and fascists like Hitler think exactly the same. Kick the old guard, bring in the new.
 
Chow's share is in the ballpark, but Bailao is overshooting substantially.

So it would appear she did become the anybody but Chow candidate. She's showing what, 10 points over who her best poll?

She was far more credible than Saunders, Furey was a fringe "candidate" and poor Bradley stumbled right out of the gate and never recovered.

I wonder how things would have gone if not for the numerous kooks, cranks and attention-seekers clogging up the works this time around. What a cartoonish election. (Well, I did earlier compare it to an eerily similar Simpsons episode from some years ago. The Simpsons predict the future yet again!)

Did the dog get many votes?
 
A Scarborough and Downtown alliance to defeat Etobicoke and North York?

View attachment 488071

I look at this map, and I think........what was @Towered doing the last few weeks? Clearly not convincing his neighbours of anything sensible. In fact, it was the area of the city he's dedicated his life to ignoring that helped elect the candidate he world have preferred.

I think Towered has to buy Scarborough a cake or something.........err..........maybe free Timbits for everyone...... LOL

*ducks*
 
The contrast to the recent predecessors is amazing.

Chow is a person who has overcome great personal difficulties.

Tory had a silver spoon at birth.

Ford was the brother of a drug dealer. I guess Ford had a different kind of spoon.

Miller was a leftist lawyer.

Lastman was an appliance dealer.

Go figure.
 
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Hmm... I guess I was wrong on my prediction. I thought it'd be Chow #1, Bailao #2, and the others further down in the polls. Guess not.
It seems I was right the first time.

So up until the very end, basically all the polls just sucked.


Did the dog get many votes?
0.08%, which puts that doggie in the top 5th of candidates.
 

The vote spreads, via The Local magazine:

IMG_5501.jpeg
 

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I wonder how long it will be before Etobicoke-Lakeshore starts swinging progressive. I was a little surprised with Eglinton-Lawrence.
 
I wonder how long it will be before Etobicoke-Lakeshore starts swinging progressive. I was a little surprised with Eglinton-Lawrence.

Eglinton-Lawrence has long been a swing seat from red to blue.

Etobicoke Lakeshore voted NDP in the early 90s, then swung the other way.
 

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