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2022/24 Russian-Ukrainian War

From Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/world/l...08e5a4d38999ae#block-633c57128f08e5a4d38999ae

Russian maps appear to show rapid withdrawals in eastern and southern Ukraine​

Russian defence ministry maps appear to show rapid withdrawals of Russian invasion forces from areas in eastern and southern Ukraine where they have been under severe pressure from a Ukrainian counteroffensive.

Reuters reports:

The ministry’s daily video briefing made no mention of any pullbacks, but on maps used to show the location of purported Russian strikes, the shaded area designating Russian military control was much smaller than the day before.

In northeast Ukraine, where Russia suffered a rout last month, its forces along a frontline running some 70 km southward from Kupiansk along the River Oskil appeared to have retreated some 20 km to the east, as far as the border of Luhansk province.

This would mean they had vacated the last remnants of Ukraine’s Kharkiv province - where Russia for several months maintained an occupation administration - but for a small patch between the town of Dvorichna and the Russian border.

In southern Ukraine’s Kherson province, Russia’s line of control on the right bank of the Dnipro river had shifted 25 km southward on the map, to a line running westward from the riverside town of Dudchany.

Both areas are battlefields where Ukraine has been reporting advances, albeit without giving full details.
 
If everything unfolds the way that it is seeming it will (total Ukrainian victory, including probable reclamation of Crimea) this is going to be one of the larger geo-political power shifts we've seen in a while.

Russia w/o the Black Sea Fleet, a much diminished military that was never as substantial as it seemed; and a domestic demographic challenge now exacerbated by the removal (via death + flight etc.) of hundreds of thousands military aged men.
 
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I have to wonder, at this rate is Russia going to have any real friends left (and I don't mean allies of convenience).

AoD

They have nothing to offer but cheap resources and some cheap defence industrial talent. Other than a few usual suspects (Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua, etc), they won't have much support. Everybody else just wants discounts.
 
 
From Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/world/l...th:block-633c57128f08e5a4d38999ae#top-of-blog

Zelenskiy announces military progress and reportedly liberated regions in Ukraine​

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy announced that dozens of regions in Ukraine have been liberated from Russian occupation, seemingly confirming information from Russia’s maps that show Russia withdrawing from eastern and western Ukraine.

During an address today, Zelenskiy said that the country’s armed forces were making progress against Russian forces in the southern part of the country.

“Today we have good news from the front line. First: the Ukrainian army is making quite fast and powerful progress in the south of our country as part of the current defense operation,” said Zelenskiy.

Zelenskiy also announced that dozens of regions have been reportedly released from Russian occupation: “Dozens of settlements have already been exempted from the Russian pseudo-referendum this week alone,” said Zelenskiy.

Zelenskiy added: “This (has happened) in Kherson region, Kharkiv region, Luhansk region and Donetsk region... In particular, according to the military reports from the Kherson region: the settlements of Lyubimivka, Khreshchenivka, Zolota Balka, Bilyaivka, Ukrainka, Velyka and Mala Oleksandrivka, and Davidiv Brid were liberated from the occupier and stabilized.”

Zelenskiy noted that the list of released territories is not complete, vowing to continue fighting against Russian forces: “And this is far from a complete list. Our soldiers do not stop. And it’s only a matter of time before we expel the occupier from all of our land.”

CNN Repprts:

Zaporizhzhia plant director will be replaced following release from Russia detention, UN nuclear watchdog says​

From CNN's Chris Liakos

Ihor Murashov, the director general of Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, will not continue his duties at the facility following his release from Russian detention, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said Tuesday.
Murashov was detained by a Russian patrol, the president of Ukraine’s state nuclear company Energoatom, Petro Kotin, said on Saturday. Kotin said Murashov was in his vehicle on his way from the plant when he was stopped, taken out of the car, and driven in an unknown direction while blindfolded. The IAEA said Monday that it had received confirmation that Murashov had returned to his family safely.
 

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