The Windsor-Quebec corridor is similar in that it's very linear. [...]
The Oxford dictionary defines the word "corridor" as "A belt of land linking two other areas or following a road or river", which pretty much prescribes a linear form, but that is not the point. I was only replying to your remark that "[t]he US has 9 times our population, which means it has 9 times as many potential rail corridors as we do".
[...] Well if the Spanish HSR system has been a financial disaster, I take it you're ready to declare our freeway system a disaster too? Because intercity freeways don't make a profit, let alone pay back their capital costs. [...]
Correct, but whereas I would count conventional rail systems (especially remote inter-regional or intra-urban Commuter rail networks) as a public responsibility, I have the expectation for HSR to be not only operationally profitable, but to recover the majority of its capital costs.
[...] There's a good argument to be made that Spain is overbuilding its HSR system. But that doesn't change the fact that the corridor between their two biggest cities (equivalent to Toronto-Montreal) has been a major success. [...]
Zaragoza-Huesca is probably the most drastic example for a completely superfluous HSR line, as the 80 km long segment is only used by a daily round trip Madrid-Zaragoza-Huesca and a second on Fridays and Sundays (thus 2*9=18 trains per week), but I agree that Madrid-Barcelona recovering at least half of its capital costs (if the calculations made by
Betancor and Llobet are anything near realistic) makes it a smaller financial disaster than the other three corridors, but what more suitable label would you suggest for having built over 2,000 km of HSR lines (i.e. quindrupling your HSR network) and yielded an increase in ridership which gets outpaced by population growth?
[...] If I'm reading that chart correctly, that line made a profit of €3.5 billion in the 5 years leading up to 2008, not including social costs/benefits. Which is odd considering that line wasn't even completed until 2008, so those numbers show performance before the line was even finished. Ridership has risen considerably since. HSR lines don't pay for themselves overnight, it can take a decade or more. The Madrid-Barcelona line is only 8 years old and, based on the pre-completion revenues you posted, it will pay for itself. The other lines are more questionable. [...]
If I read the study correctly (I don't speak Spanish, even though I found it surprisingly similar to French and somewhat understandably), all calculations - financial and social - were based on a horizon of 50 years. I tried to provide the years of opening for the respective corridors, but I must admit that I'm not exactly sure what is exactly included and therefore removed these references in the table, while specifying that all figures refer to a 50-year horizon. For any questions regarding that study, I suggest to read and/or translate it yourself, as my Spanish does not allow me to understand the exact methodology. Nevertheless, a different team of Spanish researchers (
Albalate et Bel, 2012, p. 102) has come to very similar conclusions:
[...] Spain's recent
financial crisis was mostly caused by a real estate bubble, not excessive infrastructure spending. Extra government spending was an effect of the bubble, not the cause of the crash. But if, as that article argues, excessive infrastructure spending is threatening the country's recovery, that's as much a problem with freeways and airports as with rail. [...]
You are right that the financial crisis was mostly caused by an unsustainable real estate boom, but the
budget crisis was caused by unsustainable public funding in low-priority or outright superfluous infrastructure projects, leading to all these
ghost airports,
abandoned highways and
grotesquely derused rail lines.
[...] Conventional speed rail lines on other continents are, of course, not necessarily faster than Via. But they are two things that Via isn't: reliable and frequent. Those are the things that Via is trying to address.
That being said, European and Asian rail networks have lots of lines that operate in the 200+ km/h range. That's not what's typically thought of as high speed, but it's still faster than just about anything in North America.
I fully agree and this is exactly the merits of Higher-Speed Rail: Maximizing the speed by modernizing signalling systems and tracks while minimizing costs by avoiding any greenfield alignments or forced physical separation of freight and passenger operations. However, the two reasons this doesn't work in North America is the much higher frequency of level crossings requiring costly grade separations and the coincidence of vertical integration (infrastructure ownership plus operations) for freight and disintegration for passenger rail operations. This is the reason why VIA Rail pursues a conventional rail solution at its maximum possible speed (i.e. 110 mph)...