kEiThZ
Superstar
CAA estimates that the per kilometre cost of maintenance and tire wear is roughly half the cost of gas, depending on the vehicle (ranging from 45-65% for the three vehicles in the document). So if your trip costs $100 in gas the true cost is more like $150. I don't know about you, but I'd say that adding 50% to the cost of anything is pretty substantial.
So pretty close to the $40-$50 I guesstimated.
People may consider maintenance costs to be marginal but they're wrong.
Telling people to do forward accounting before every road trip to included all deferred expenditures. That's bound to be a sure fire way to win ridership. I wonder why it hasn't worked so well for VIA till now?
Like I said earlier, these are deferred costs. Since you aren't incurring expenses at the time, you are likely to discount them as marginal. Nobody goes to their Jiffy Lube thinking well, 10% of my driving was for Montreal, 15% for Ottawa, and 10% for North Bay. They go in thinking this is the cost of owning a car. That's human nature. Argue against it all you want.
And this is all assuming single occupant. Put two or more people in that vehicle and the costs absolutely beat out every other mode.
Driving to Montreal is rarely faster than taking the train.
Only if you get your timings from Google Maps for driving or are using VIA's official schedule. Having driven and take the train every 2 weeks for years from Ottawa, I know for a fact that driving is always faster, if you're leaving outside rush hour and there's no weather. Here's reality. The trains were usually late, and often by more than 20 mins. I've had delays of 1 hr. And outside the GTA, I'm driving 120-130 the whole way. I could make it from my condo in Ottawa (2 stops from the station there) to my family home in Malvern (10 min drive from Guildwood) in 4.5 hrs with a 10-15 min stop. The train, with delays, and with transit time to/from the station at either end was rarely under 6 hrs in total travel time. Sometimes closer to 7 hrs.
This is why I argue that HFR needs to have speed targets based on REAL WORLD DRIVING TIMES. Nobody gives a shit about Google Maps times between stations. I would argue the threshold for marginal travel is about 20-25% beyond driving times, the car starts looking attractive. This is why HFR to Ottawa starts to look so good. If it's less than 3 hrs, I can take transit one either end and still do the trip from door-to-door in under 5 hrs.
The only major save for VIA here is weather. Nobody wants to drive in the winter. But again, if the ticket costs are high enough, and travel times long enough and trains unreliable enough, VIA doesn't come off looking like a substantially better alternative.
Nobody's going to deny the flexibility of driving but that wasn't really the point of my post.
The point of your post was that people don't consider all aspects of driving. I'd argue the premise of your post is wrong. People do what is best for them. The goal should not be to beat them into submission. The goal should be to offer an alternative that is soundly better on most aspects, so people choose it as a default choice.
The speed boost of HFR would be a benefit but frequency, reliability, and a predictable schedule would be just as important, IMO.
Certainly. And I've made the same points. But speed is a must. Hourly trains that take 4 hrs to get Ottawa and 5 hrs to get to Montreal, still won't sell that well. Especially if they still cost as much VIA does today.
I hope HFR allows VIA to cut ticket costs substantially.