re Y&E, that's a good point. But the Sobeys is quite small in comparison to the other stores. So its really just Metro and a soon to be Loblaws.
I'm just not sure though, even with all the added density, keep in mind there is a metro just a couple blocks north up empress at Church, maybe they'll close that ?
Time will tell!
Taal,.... rest assure, these grocery chains do a ton of market research before they set up shop. And you'll actually have to go back to 1976 to find the last major grocery store that actually closed down in the Yonge & Sheppard downtown North York area due to bad business decisions. The only grocery store closure we've seen since then have been due to condo-development - and they've all been temporary - the same grocery store will reappear a few years later nearby.
With that said, the Metro at the new EmeraldPark will be much weaker than the Metro at Doris & Church north of EmpressWalk. Look at all the condos along Doris Avenue and more coming as Toronto expand condo development along Yonge between Finch and Steeles.
Clustering of supermarkets at Yonge & Sheppard. Basically 3 out of the 4 corners of Yonge & Sheppard intersection will have supermarkets:
- Wholes Food Market on 1st floor of Tridel Hullmark Centre
- Metro on 2nd floor of Bazis Emerald Park
- Longo's on 3rd floor of Sheppard Centre
All of these building complex will have at least one direct TTC subway connection (Tridel Hullmark Centre will have 2).
These are not your typical suburban supermarkets surrounded by acres of parking spaces relying on drivers loading up their vehicles on their once a week grocery run.
These are the newer breed of urban supermarkets that have limited parking spaces, they focus more on high foot-traffic area with direct TTC subway connections where customers can easily drop by on their way home. They are more likely to be filling up a carry shopping basket than an entire shopping cart since they won't have their car with them. They'll carry out a bag or two of grocery at a time but make multiple visits throughout the week.
Look at Whole Food Market in Tridel Hullmark Centre, they have 2 direct TTC subway connections and are on the south-east corner of Yonge & Sheppard intersection; that quadrant has 22 condo towers and 4 office building - there'll be a whole lot of people using those TTC subway connections in Tridel Hullmark Centre. In addition, Whole Food Market draws in customer from a much larger geographical market area.
The Longo's in Sheppard Centre will be disadvantaged by being up on the 3rd floor. But its advantage is all the condos in their north-east quadrant of Yonge & Sheppard - lots of foot-traffic going through Yonge-Sheppard Centre.
The Metro on the 2nd floor of Bazis Emerald Park is in the worst quadrant - there's no other high-density condos in the south-west quadrant - only its own two condo towers, Nestle office tower and one low rise office complex.
Outside of the TTC entrances that area residents uses, what are the appeal of each supermarket that will entice area residents to forego one supermarket in favour of another. With supermarkets at 3 of the 4 corners of Yonge & Sheppard, many local residents will have to literally walk right by one supermarket to get to their preferred supermarket. Clearly Whole Food Market will be much more appealing than Metro except for the price. But if price is more of a concern, Metro isn't exactly the cheapest around. The Metro at EmeraldPark is the weakest link,... but a 3rd floor Longo's isn't much better.