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Rob Ford wants subways, not streetcars

If one Orion hybrid-electric bus lasts for 18-21 years and one Bombardier LRV lasts 30 years, then shockingly the bus with the shorter life span is the better investment.

I don't think so. Over a 30 year period one extra driver would have added almost $2 million dollars to your costs. Since an LRT handles more passengers than a bus per vehicle (about 3x the amount with the new downtown models), and handles two shifts per day this represents 4 extra drivers to pay to carry the same number of people or more than $7 million. Then there is the energy cost savings, the maintenance cost savings (electric motors need far less maintenance), and the fact that more people tend to be lured to rail based transit than bus based transit resulting in larger revenues to help pay off the existing investment.
 
Are you really going to stick to your claim that buses are more comfortable than rail? We've all ridden buses...we know that's not true.

Again...bus : lrv purchasing isn't a one : one thing though. You need to purchase multiple buses to do the job of one lrv.
Then there's the lifespan, and the maintenance costs, and the drivers' wages. These numbers have been run by more capable people than yourself, and it's not nearly as lop-sided as you claim.

Take a ride on the VIVA buses. Barring an utterly terrible driver it is a very smooth and comfortable ride.

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I find it pretty ironic that people are making these arguments against BRT, reading these posts (costs, and Fresh Start's ridership #'s, etc) I am starting to see a parallel between the LRT vs HRT debate with the same LRT supporters taking similar positions that the HRT group take against LRT. Just an observation, and it's clear which posters have pre built biases wrt mode choice.
 
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Take a ride on the VIVA buses. Barring an utterly terrible driver it is a very smooth and comfortable ride.

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I take the bus all through the city. What I notice is that the areas with higher density and which has more traffic, seem to make a more unpleasent bus ride. The denser the area the more stops which means the more weaving in and out of traffic by the bus driver. Also there are sections of the city which the roads just aren't as smooth as others. VIVA may be a smooth ride. But that may have to do with the fact that there are Less stops, less traffic, and and better road maintenance.
 
When we're talking about an over $5.2 million cost disprenpancy per vehicle, it is critical to stress the greater affordability of buses. Look at how much time's been wasted negotiating for more LRVs and initial costing projections have ballooned. That enough money's ($1.25 B) being spent on purchasing new light-rail trams to build 5 kilometres of new subways where existing T1s could be routed or enough for 80 kilometres of new high calibre BRT busways; is something I wish for the public to know about.

Yo cannot just compare the cost of vehicles on a 1:1 basis. The new LRV's are proposed to carry 260 passengers. A TTC Orion VII hyrbrid has a max capacity of 60 riders(we know that true capacity is lower, due to crowding at the front of the bus). So you would need 4 buses for the capacity of one new LRV. An LRV can last minimum 30 years. A bus may be pushed to 18 years(I doubt these years will last more than 15, with an extensive rebuild). So 4 buses at $750,000 x 2(You will have to buy 4 more in 18 years), means it will cost more in the long run to purchases buses to replace one LRV. The rest of your post is nonsense, so I ignored it.

Considering that 74% of the TTC's annual budget goes into workers wages alone, I do not think it's the cost of buying diesel that needs to be downsized.

4 buses to replace one LRV means 4 drivers. And gas costs WILL go up.

As far as i know the busses are still under warranty (which is what allowed the batteries to be replaced at no cost). The fuel saving issues were quickly resolved and speaks to the emissions benefits. The lead-acid battery pack used in NYCT's Orion VII buses has an initial cost of $25,000, but replacement costs are less than half, since only the batteries are replaced and not the packaging and componentry. NiMH battery packs like those used in GM Allison buses cost between $35,000 and $45,000. The cost of NiMH batteries will drop as more are produced. Good thing for Sudbury.

There IS no fuel savings. Not the way the TTC runs the buses. Toronto is not a good environment for hybrid buses, except maybe in the downtown core. Hybrids are a farce, and agencies only buy them because it's a great way to say "we're environmentally friendly!" Orion Bus industries uses the BAE hybrid systems, so find some figures for BAE, and not the NFI system. It's highly unlikely the TTC will buy NFI anytime soon, since NFI will not meet their requirements.

And batteries used by Daimler, for instance, have a shelf life of 9 years on average and its not like we're stuck with Orion indefinitely. All I'm saying is give it a chance. Given that a large part of the funding for buses comes from other levels of government that "encourage" hybrid purchases means that IF they are lemons, the TTC is not the only one to blame. Yes, the system needs fixing, but this is hardly an issue with the technology itself.

It IS an issue with the technology. It did not live up to the manufacturers claim. It's clear the technology is not ready, and the manufacturer should not have lied to get agencies to those lemons. You have a lot of nerve telling people to gve a technology that is clearly not ready "a chance", while trashing a proven technology. No one really knows that true cost of replacing batteries yet. The 9 year life span is not true. There is concern the Lead Acid batteries will last only 3 years, and NiMH batteries will last only 5-7 years. That means an agency is going to have to change the batteries 2 or 3 times in a bus life span. That's an extra $100,000-$150,000 per bus if your cost claims are used, and possibly even up to $250,000 depending how the batteries have to be replaced.

The only web source that matters to this deabte is the TTC: http://www.toronto.ca/involved/projects/etobicoke_finch_w_lrt/pdf/2008-08-07_open_house.pdf. They themselves claim BRT is suitable for PPHPD up to 6000-8000. LRT is required for routes exceeding 8000 PPHPD. That equates more people hourly travelling by bus than will use the TYSSE by the year 2031, which is forecasted at a dismal 2300 PPHPD. Finch West, Sheppard East, Jane, Morningside all fall below this minimum threshold; with the highest used Finch W carrying closer to 1313 PPHPD today and is forecasted (after years of on-road construction drives away potential users) to be around 2300-2800 PPHPD... at the densest point en route!

The same source that says significant BRT structure is required for capacity above 2,000. It's well known true BRT can cost just as much as LRT. 2,800pph would require around 43 buses. That is one bus around every 1.5 minute assuming the headway can be maintained , and experience shows it's not easy to maintain that sort of headway, even with passing lanes, which woud definitely be required. LRT for the win. And for the record, I used the crush capacity of 66 for a bus.
My experience with the 36 bus is that it's crowded, and uncomfortable to ride. These people deserve decent transit, and not be forced to continiue to ride buses.

People like to point to the 510 Spadina as exemplar of what light-rail in Toronto can acheieve, however ridership has actually DECLINED from the heydays of the 77 Spadina bus and has only recently rebounded back to pre-LRT 1992 levels of use (those images I posted in the other forum should indicate why). Why are we throwing good money after bad?

No one uses Spadina as an example because Spadina is essentailly streetcar in a ROW with little signal priority, only people who little knowledge of LRT, or with an agenda use Spadina as an example. You're dead-wrong(Not surprised) about Spadina ridership declining. Ridership actually increased 7-15% overall since the streetcars replaced the bus. Stop lying.

When buses are routed on exclusive reserved lanes, the life span of BRT standard hot mix asphalt is about 16 years. http://www.wsdot.wa.gov/Projects/QuieterPavement/CommonQuestions.htm

HA!!!

That's funny! You really are full of it, aren't you? I lived in Ottawa for 4 years, and I have seen the stretch of transitway between Campus, and Lees stations replaced 2 times! The Orange Line busway is already experiencing significant ruts at intersections. You really are something, you know that? You seem to enjoy destroying your credibility on this board. You just skimmed through the article, picked a line that sounded good, and assumes the article is talking about BRT pavement,which it is not! The article is about testing pavement to reduce noise on highways, and residential areas. In no way does it state BRT use. Why are you even using Washington States stats anyways? The climate on the West Coast is different to what we experience here.

We're quick to judge our public institutions without giving them a chance to explain - all I'm asking is that we the citizens are given an opportunity to add to the conversation as well. Elitists love to tell us what's good for us without realizing how just basic solutions from the world over applied to our own situation could result in getting more done for less expense, in less time.

Says the guy who wants to cancel Transit City, and preaches only subways and buses will attract riders. There is word for people like you. Starts with Hypo...
Citizens have been adding to the conversation. What do oyu think the open house are for? Citizens are demanding more stops in the tunneled section of the ECLRT, working to save Transit City funding. I would argue it's you, and a few others who are acting elitists acting like you know what the citziens want.


Who's twisting others' words now? I myself have talked with Steve Munro on his blog about the Queen car, and you know what, he happened to agree with me.

Over your head. Citzines were willing to use some of their own time to discuss ways to improve the quality of the service. That is the point I was making before you went on some tangent about Steve Munro agreeing with you about something. The streetcar is beloved in Toronto, regardless of what fringe auto-loving suburbanite claim.
 
Rob Ford: link to and bookmark this article, just in case you actually become mayor. See http://voices.washingtonpost.com/local-breaking-news/dc/dc-council-votes-to-strip-fund.html for more information.

Other links with other information are at http://greatergreaterwashington.org/post.cgi?id=5967 and at http://greatergreaterwashington.org/post.cgi?id=5970.

What happened, in Washington DC, is that there was a vote at 2 AM to cut funds to a streetcar project in Washington. That's streetcar as in mixed-traffic, not a right-of-way. There was a backlash with telephone calls, television, radio, blogs, Twitter, Facebook, and more. They had to reverse the decision very quickly. See http://greatergreaterwashington.org/post.cgi?id=5982 for the latest.
 
It was recently discovered that Neantrathals and our human ancestors who lived around the same time as them had some inter-breeding. I wonder if Rob Ford is aware of this fact.
 
I don't think so. Over a 30 year period one extra driver would have added almost $2 million dollars to your costs. Since an LRT handles more passengers than a bus per vehicle (about 3x the amount with the new downtown models), and handles two shifts per day this represents 4 extra drivers to pay to carry the same number of people or more than $7 million. Then there is the energy cost savings, the maintenance cost savings (electric motors need far less maintenance), and the fact that more people tend to be lured to rail based transit than bus based transit resulting in larger revenues to help pay off the existing investment.

Forgive me if I don't give a crap about cost 'savings' over a 30 year period when we can hardly afford to keep the TTC system afloat now. Streetcars won't show up on your little side street/cul-de-sac at 5 in the morning to pick you up for work, escorting you straight to the nearest subway. Buying 2 buses in lieu of one LRV over a 30 year period costing at the most $1.5 million combined; is more affordable than pruchasing a $5.9 million LRV today that'll incur well over 2 million dollars in additional maintenance costs over its lifespan. Operations-wise, LRT saves money vs. both a bus and the equivalent number of passengers driving a vehicle. But if you factored in energy used during construction, it would have taken approximately 3,000 years to see any real energy savings. I'll look for the paper and post the specifics if you are really interested. And while you may claim that light rail has lower environmental impact, don't forget that rails must be served by feeder buses that often run nearly empty (or worse stadium sized parking lots filled with park-n-go commuters). Taken as a whole, transit systems with light rail consume more fuel and emit more pollution per passenger than systems that rely only on buses.

Concerns about buses being a second-class mode of transit can basically be ignored. Throw in some good design to make the buses look sleek and attractive and you’re set. A high-investment (or medium-investment, mostly) BRT would also assuage my personal concern about BRT, which is that it have the obvious permanence of light rail in order to spur transit-oriented development. So in summary, buses can do everything light rail can do except spend a lot of money. Taxpayers, transit riders, and commuters all lose when transit agencies divert funds from efficient buses to wasteful rail lines.
 
Forgive me if I don't give a crap about cost 'savings' over a 30 year period when we can hardly afford to keep the TTC system afloat now. Streetcars won't show up on your little side street/cul-de-sac at 5 in the morning to pick you up for work, escorting you straight to the nearest subway. Buying 2 buses in lieu of one LRV over a 30 year period costing at the most $1.5 million combined; is more affordable than pruchasing a $5.9 million LRV today that'll incur well over 2 million dollars in additional maintenance costs over its lifespan. Operations-wise, LRT saves money vs. both a bus and the equivalent number of passengers driving a vehicle. But if you factored in energy used during construction, it would have taken approximately 3,000 years to see any real energy savings. I'll look for the paper and post the specifics if you are really interested.
I'm interested for one.

And while you may claim that light rail has lower environmental impact, don't forget that rails must be served by feeder buses that often run nearly empty (or worse stadium sized parking lots filled with park-n-go commuters). Taken as a whole, transit systems with light rail consume more fuel and emit more pollution per passenger than systems that rely only on buses.
Would those feeder buses still not feed the same route run by buses as LRT and the need for parking not change because of what type of transit vehicle used? Did you make that up about transit systems with light rail in them or have some documentation?

Concerns about buses being a second-class mode of transit can basically be ignored. Throw in some good design to make the buses look sleek and attractive and you’re set. A high-investment (or medium-investment, mostly) BRT would also assuage my personal concern about BRT, which is that it have the obvious permanence of light rail in order to spur transit-oriented development. So in summary, buses can do everything light rail can do except spend a lot of money. Taxpayers, transit riders, and commuters all lose when transit agencies divert funds from efficient buses to wasteful rail lines.
Buses spend a lot of money on drivers and maintainence.
 
Forgive me if I don't give a crap about cost 'savings' over a 30 year period when we can hardly afford to keep the TTC system afloat now.

I will not forgive that. If you're not going to consider operating expenses, then you don't get to debate expense at all.
 
Forgive me if I don't give a crap about cost 'savings' over a 30 year period when we can hardly afford to keep the TTC system afloat now.

It is the operating expenses that make the TTC hard to keep afloat. This sentence shows that you have zero grasp of financial reality. It shows you have no clue on why assets are treated differently than liabilities. Using the "afloat" metaphor you would be the person debating against the cost of welding metal to the hull of a ship saying you can barely afford the growing costs of the bilge pumps.

Fresh Start said:
Streetcars won't show up on your little side street/cul-de-sac at 5 in the morning to pick you up for work, escorting you straight to the nearest subway.

Of course not. None of the buses that would be replaced by LRT would show up on your little side street / cul-de-sac at 5am nor would a subway line.

Your math simply will not add up. Rail was originally created because it is the most economical way to move large quantities of passengers and goods. Rubber tires have greater rolling resistance and electricity can come from many sources but buses running on fuel are locked in to a single source of energy making the use of electricity a safer hedge on future energy prices. The construction techniques they use on new lines will have these rail beds lasting 25-30 years and the cost of the construction will be divided by the number of people using it. Buses have greater maintenance costs per passenger than LRTs, especially because fuel based engines have more moving parts. No matter what, the cost of a paid employee and operational costs are what is most expensive. BRT would not work in the corridors were LRT is proposed and used because BRT vehicles don't carry the same number of people and with greater numbers of buses required there will be greater bunching of vehicles on the route leading to further delays and all of it ends up increasing the operating costs.
 

Looks like if Ford wants to have a chance in hell of winning, he's going to have to let this guy go. Probably for the best, as he has no clue of the social, environmental, or economical benefits of efficient and competitive public transit.

Also kind of ironic that this guy has a background in crisis management...
 
Looks like if Ford wants to have a chance in hell of winning, he's going to have to let this guy go. Probably for the best, as he has no clue of the social, environmental, or economical benefits of efficient and competitive public transit.

Also kind of ironic that this guy has a background in crisis management...

I think it was just shock jock talk so to speak. In essence he didn't say to shut down the TTC. He was basically advocating privatizing it so that the city could save on subsidies.

Anyway, I don't even think Ford is going for the win. But I can't say that part of me doesn't like the fact that he's really rattling a few cages. Hopefully politicians will finally take the views of suburban voters more seriously now.
 
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The outer 416 (and 905 for that matter) would have a preference towards Rob Ford because of his pro-automobile attitudes. He seems to think that crude oil will be cheap and available forever. What will have when the crude oil runs out. He is just living short-term, not long-term.
 
Looks like if Ford wants to have a chance in hell of winning, he's going to have to let this guy go. Probably for the best, as he has no clue of the social, environmental, or economical benefits of efficient and competitive public transit.

Also kind of ironic that this guy has a background in crisis management...

Sadly, I think this will pander to Ford's core base. There are quite a large number of idiots who believe selling off the TTC will be beneficial.
 

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