Furthermore, the marginalized working poor often have an emotional reaction to policy that lifts-up-all boats but only does so for some. It's not a mature behaviour (because caring about fairness is probably the least mature emotion known to man) but basically if the state lifts up your neighbour and not you or worse lifts up some dude you think is worthless while you work your ass off and still end up no better off. Dude, your going to be pissed.
On the portion I've quoted, I think you have a point.
There is a segment of the population who are just getting by, and doing so without inordinate state support (that is to say only those programs like public education/health/roads etc. that most of us benefit from), who very much resent government actions that help anyone worse off still get up to their level without any additional effort.
That that view is selfish, narrow-minded, and myopic should also be said.
On the rest, I'm not sure argument holds as much water.
Though I might repurpose some of it.
The mistake of centre/left in politics that is distinct from the mistakes of the right (both make ample substantive policy errors) is the failure to understand simplicity.
By which I mean two things. In substance, government actions needs to be transparent wherever possible, such that tangible achievement is measurable to the average person.
That doesn't mean fixing hallway medicine gets any simpler, but it means that success, from the pov of the average person is their 'feeling' about their experience waiting for a doctor's appointment, a surgery or in the ER.
The average person does not read the wait time metric charts at Health Quality Ontario that show how what the average wait and 90th percentile wait is patients based on priority levels 1 through 4.
I'm the policy wonk who reads that.
Where most patients are level 4 (least serious) there's is the experience most people know. You get very little credit for improvements at the other end of the spectrum because very few people are there.
That doesn't mean you should ignore the more serious patients, it means you should understand that to get broad credit for improvement, people in that level 4 category need to notice the change.
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A second issue for the left is the death of a thousand cuts. By which I mean for individuals or businesses, one more form, one more line to stand in, or even one more line making your taxes longer.
The simple act of simplification is popular. Conversely, defending or expanding complexity causes many people, especially those with lower education, or less free time more anxiety as it adds to the challenge of daily life, often for what seems
like no reason at all.
This is where cancelling Drive Clean comes in; or Beer in corner stores.
When even environmentalists (myself included) know that Drive Clean as it now exists is pretty indefensible and where most people have accepted that chaos will not break out if Sobeys sells beer you can't be caught
defending arrangements that essentially support narrow interests (foreign conglomerates that own the Beer Store, mechanics) at the expense of the 'average' person in time or money.
Needless to say, none of that made me cast a vote for Ford (I did not), however, it did impact, at least as the margins, some other voters. That and the relative strength of two progressive parties, in a regressive electoral system gave us this result.
But bad politicing doesn't help.