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Mayor Olivia Chow's Toronto

Happy to announce that the frugal money-saving programs initiated by Mayors Ford and Tory are have been continued by the fiscal conservative councillors and bureaucrats at city hall. Haven't seen a street sweeper in my neighbourhood since spring. There are tree leaves in the street gutter. After the thunderstorm downpours, the streets were flooded because of the leaves clogging the sewer grates, but the city did save money.
 
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A province only of Municipality of Toronto would have massive struggle to make changes without getting crushed by the 905 region.
Would you mind expanding on this? Corporate HQs wouldn't be relocating to Pickering or Vaughan.
Corporate tax revenue seems like it would be a savior until you realize federal Equalization still applies and the remaining not-Toronto would be a substantial recipient; and now has zero incentive to assist with GO or public housing or TTC repairs.
I believe there still would be an incentive to support GO because, as referenced above, these jobs aren't going to be relocating to the suburbs, and these suburban residents will still need to travel into the city to work.
There's also a non-trivial chance someone like Ford, Tory, or Lastman would be Premier of a 416-only province too in addition to those constraints.
I think this would be off-set by a mayor more progressive than Chow taking the reins and forwarding policies more applicable to people living south of Bloor.
What has been working is encouraging the 905 to urbanize and experience similar challenges as 416. Suddenly they vote differently. A Harris style "Down with Cities" candidate isn't electable in Ontario today.
Agree with this, but I think this densification and urbanization needs to happen within the 416 and not the 905, as the former has a lot more room to densify and the latter fuels further sprawl. Stuff like the further densification of Golden Mile is fine, but it seems kind of fruitless of Pickering GO is surrounded by towers but residents still need vehicles for local, non-commuting travel. There are still seas of parking and SFHs between downtown and Steeles that can be densified without having to skip over them.
 
Would you mind expanding on this? Corporate HQs wouldn't be relocating to Pickering or Vaughan.

Sure they would. Not senior staff, but the registered address that pays corporate taxes.

I believe there still would be an incentive to support GO because, as referenced above, these jobs aren't going to be relocating to the suburbs, and these suburban residents will still need to travel into the city to work.

Yes, the New Jersey argument is valid, but not when a Province of 416 needs to make bribes to the existing Ontario to get out of Ontario. Jersey obtains benefits they would not have otherwise; current Ontario already has all the benefits and Province of 416 is asking to give some of those benefits away. Also need to bribe other provinces into agreeing to it as you're asking them to give up some of their authority as well.

I think this would be off-set by a mayor more progressive than Chow taking the reins and forwarding policies more applicable to people living south of Bloor.

Such a person still needs to be electable by the majority, which is located in North York, Etobicoke, and Scarborough. A province of "Old Toronto" or "Waterfront adjacent Toronto" is a non-starter; gerrymandering, what you're proposing with a Province of South of Bloor, isn't a tolerated thing in Canada.

Create a Toronto Party and flood Queens Park with them. BQ gets an awful lot of concessions for a party that has always had near zero actual power.
 
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There is no way a province of the City of Toronto could ever exist, even for just the fact that the airport isn't even in Toronto proper. I think it's a non-starter of an idea. A province of Greater Toronto might be more feasible, but even then, I think the chance of it happening is maybe 1%. Maybe Northern Ontario splitting off into its own province might be more realistic, but even then I find it extremely unlikely. In the US, we haven't seen a single new state created in my lifetime, and in Canada we only had Nunavut created out of a portion of the Northwest Territories, and that was just a territory, not a province so I don't think it's as difficult to do.

I think a better, more realistic option would be giving the big cities of Ontario / Canada some additional powers, particularly in regards to implementing new taxes. But there's no way that will happen under Doug Ford's watch.
 
There is no way a province of the City of Toronto could ever exist, even for just the fact that the airport isn't even in Toronto proper. I think it's a non-starter of an idea. A province of Greater Toronto might be more feasible, but even then, I think the chance of it happening is maybe 1%. Maybe Northern Ontario splitting off into its own province might be more realistic, but even then I find it extremely unlikely. In the US, we haven't seen a single new state created in my lifetime, and in Canada we only had Nunavut created out of a portion of the Northwest Territories, and that was just a territory, not a province so I don't think it's as difficult to do.

I think a better, more realistic option would be giving the big cities of Ontario / Canada some additional powers, particularly in regards to implementing new taxes. But there's no way that will happen under Doug Ford's watch.
Northern Ontario and Northern Québec were part of the North West Territories.
 
There is no way a province of the City of Toronto could ever exist, even for just the fact that the airport isn't even in Toronto proper. I think it's a non-starter of an idea. A province of Greater Toronto might be more feasible, but even then, I think the chance of it happening is maybe 1%. Maybe Northern Ontario splitting off into its own province might be more realistic, but even then I find it extremely unlikely. In the US, we haven't seen a single new state created in my lifetime, and in Canada we only had Nunavut created out of a portion of the Northwest Territories, and that was just a territory, not a province so I don't think it's as difficult to do.

I think a better, more realistic option would be giving the big cities of Ontario / Canada some additional powers, particularly in regards to implementing new taxes. But there's no way that will happen under Doug Ford's watch.
Any such additional powers would have to be such that the next government can't just come in and change the playing field. That happened with Ford, and to some extent with the previous government (not allowing tolls). Clearly legislation means nothing... The City of Toronto Act has been rewritten as necessary by Ford et al. to suit their needs
 
From Matt Elliot

"Mayor Olivia Chow says she’ll bring a motion to the infrastructure committee for a “stronger” speed camera program. Includes tweaks like larger signs and more notice, plus sending MPPs and residents info about road deaths and injuries in their area from speeding."

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The Ward 25 - Scarborough Rouge Park by-election is today.

I have not been following it closely, but the race appears to be between Neethan Shan, Zakir Patel, Anu Sriskandarajah and Shawn Allen.

I know many Chow surrogates are campaigning for Neethan Shan, who see the ward, particularly the northern half, as an important part of the Scarborough coalition that got her elected in 2023.
 
The Ward 25 - Scarborough Rouge Park by-election is today.

I have not been following it closely, but the race appears to be between Neethan Shan, Zakir Patel, Anu Sriskandarajah and Shawn Allen.

I know many Chow surrogates are campaigning for Neethan Shan, who see the ward, particularly the northern half, as an important part of the Scarborough coalition that got her elected in 2023.
Looks like Progress & the Ontario NDP rallying behind Shan should be just enough to get him over the line.

Beyond that, based on minimal reading, seems like the rest of the candidates were not too differentiated from each other, so the vote split doesn't seem too surprising. Like, they all seem to be community organizers who will "fight for Scarborough".

With the exception of the ABC-backed Shawn Allen. Seems like his pathway to victory was centred around drumming enough opposition to the Morningside bus lanes (his proposal being converting them into HOV lanes... with some of his stints including playing hockey on them). Looking at his Instagram (2nd picture in slide), he also used a photo-op with the mayor as an opportunity to advertise his campaign lol.

I think this is the first election since the formation of ABC, so I guess you can conclude that they are not an immediate powerhouse from the get-go. And while still a long ways to go, probably doesn't bode well for Bradford's chances at mayor... (or maybe it'll get him to realize that his crusade against bike lanes & transit isn't going to be a winning formula...)
 
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Neethan Shan517426.86%
Anu Sriskandarajah337417.52%
Shawn Allen293415.23%
Reza Khoshdel18349.52%
Zakir Patel15217.90%
Shean Sinnarajah14417.48%
Darrell Brown6013.12%
Anita Anandarajan5072.63%
Brian Matthews3972.06%
Dianna Robinson3771.96%
Zia Choudhary2951.53%
Ashan Fernando1820.94%
Jamil Kerr1760.91%
Jose Moreno Garcia1540.80%
Walter Alvarez-Bardales1010.52%
Donna LaRush590.31%
Shemar Shirley400.21%
Gregory Rodriguez350.18%
Huy Lieu350.18%
Kevin Cheatley230.12%
 
With all polls reporting, Neethan Shan is the winner.

View attachment 684641
Via Toronto Elections

I would describe this broadly as my preferred outcome here.

That said, a ~27% share of the vote resulting in a council seat, where the pooled votes of the candidates finishing 2nd and 3rd, or 3rd, 4th and 5th is larger, and where the votes of 2 through 4 are barely 50% surely makes
a fine case for ranked ballots.

Its not clear to me that this would have changed the outcome here; but regardless I'd prefer an outcome that more evidently reflected a consensus position of the ward.

****

While the winner here, Shan, is broadly aligned with Mayor Chow, former Councillor McKelvie, while to her political right was fairly cooperative on key votes, as you might expect. So I don't really expect a material shift at Council.
 
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There is no way a province of the City of Toronto could ever exist, even for just the fact that the airport isn't even in Toronto proper. I think it's a non-starter of an idea.
Agreed. And besides, most of the 6.8 million people who reside in the GTA do not live within Toronto anyway. And even if we looked at a province of the GTA, what about the nearly 2 million additional people who reside in the GTHA? Where do we draw the line?
 

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