Streety McCarface
Senior Member
I'm rather confused how starting a single eastbound train earlier in Kitchener, and converting a westbound express to local, and running to Kitchener would create so much induced demand. Looking closely at the schedule, the whole thing may be a red herring. The issue isn't the extension to Kitchener, or some extra stops (though I can see those that took an express would be happy it's now local).
The real issue appears is with the adjusted departure times, there's some longer gaps at peak. Which makes the problem simply that too many people have arrived.
Looking just at Brampton, the old AM departures were:
6:03 AM
6:39 AM (36 minutes later)
7:04 AM (25 minutes later)
7:19 AM (15 minutes later - express)
7:32 AM (13 minutes later)
8:02 AM (30 minutes later)
8:25 AM (23 minutes later)
And the new AM departures are:
6:03 AM
6:30 AM (27 minutes later)
6:55 AM (25 minutes later) (now starts at Kitchener)
7:20 AM (25 minutes later - express)
7:30 AM (10 minutes later)
8:00 AM (30 minutes later)
8:25 AM (25 minutes later)
Essentially they've widened the gap just before the express from 15 to 25 minutes. I suspect the 6:55 isn't particularly crowded. It's the 7:20 AM that would be the issue.
The worst complaints seem to be about platform crowding at PM rush at Union. The old PM departures from Union were:
3:35 PM (to Georgetown)
4:20 PM (45 minutes later) (to Georgetown)
4:50 PM (30 minutes later) (express to Kitchener)
5:02 PM (12 minutes later) (to Mount Pleasant)
5:20 PM (18 minutes later) (to Kitchener)
5:50 PM (30 minutes later) (to Kitchener)
6:50 PM (60 minutes later) (to Kitchener)
The new PM departures are:
3:35 PM (extended to Kitchener)
4:04 PM (29 minutes later) (to Georgetown)
4:35 PM (31 minutes later) (to Georgetown)
5:02 PM (32 minutes later) (to Kitchener)
5:27 PM (25 minutes later) (to Kitchener)
6:00 PM (33 minutes later) (to Kitchener)
6:50 PM (50 minutes later) (to Kitchener)
It looks like someone has tried to take the schedule, which ran more trains closer together right at the peak point, and instead space them out so that departures are more consistent.
Which completely fails to take into account having enough capacity at the peak point. All the "express to local" and "extended to Kitchener" arguments are only confusing the issue. If that was the only thing that had happened, I doubt there'd be anywhere near this issue.
The answer is likely just tweaking departure times a bit. Or better yet, add an extra train.
Moving the express 10 minutes earlier in the morning would probably solve most of that issue. Alternatively, add a 7:10 and 7:45 train.
In the evening add a 4:50 and 5:15 departures (and why not run an express).
Really, the line needs 15-minute service to Brampton during peak hour asap.
The actual issue is absolutely the new timings. I don't think anyone seriously questions that, but the ministry framing as induced demand gives me hope that they do intend further expansion.
It's not necessarily just the timings, it's the capacity. Most non-peak trains (those departing from union before 16:30) have 12 car trains while of the most important peak service (the 17:03) train has only 10 cars. While the Kitchener line did fine with those before the improvements in Kitchener, the growth in ridership has deemed these extra seats a necessity, especially since this new train is not running express. Whichever transportation engineer was responsible for that decision needs to be canned. There's also plenty of room on the Kitchener line between the 16:35 and 17:03, so there is no reason for the 15:35 to have 12 cars (let alone 10, that one should be 6 if anything), and for the 17:03 not running express.