I do not have a "hard on" for hydrogen and the reason I bring up hydrogen is because it IS electrification in every sense of the word.
How. Electrification refers to running catenary trains. This is how every other system has been electrified, that or using 3rd rail systems.
The electrification study written by Metrolinx assumes that they are operating catenary trains
Ok I'll assume that you're talking about fuel cells and using hydrogen to power fuel cells to power electric motors.
And for the sake of argument, I'll assume that a complete hydrogen based economy has been created and that none of the infrastructure around hydrogen has to be worried about. ALL the safety kinks have been worked out and hydrail is as safe and easy to use as catenaries. In addition, the manufacturing of high power hydrogen fuel cells has been perfected, there are no more technical details. And that all this extra work has been completed by 2025. Obviously this is totally false and all these factors would
be a major hurdle totally kill the project as proposed, but I'll grant you this to make your case stronger.
What's the difference in cases now?
The hydrogen trains don't need wires. A catenary system costs about 8M CAD per km. I'll be very generous to your case and say that there are 2000 km of GO owned track. (There are only 450 km of system length, I'll just say that there are 4tracks on each km of this length)
Thats 1.6Bn in costs on catenary.
However, consider the costs of fueling those trains. Over 50 years, assuming that the difference between powering trains through electricity vs hydrogen is about 32M dollars/ year only then are you breaking even on the costs.
What other benefits does hydrogen offer in such a generous scenario? It can run outside of urban areas, so we don't have to build wires? For an urban commuter rail system, thats no benefit at all. And it's not as if hydrogen trains couldn't run on an catenary track either.
Are there any operational benefits to hydrogen? Is converting hydrogen back into electricity using fuel cells at 60% efficiency going to be more powerful than directly running 4000kwh electric motors from power lines?
No
Is hydrogen safer than electricity?
No, because hydrogen itself is highly combustible and the flames are invisible in daylight.
So if I've had to give you this much to help you make your case, totally removing all startup and teething pains that would come from spearheading a totally unproven-at-SCALE system and there still seems to be little if no cost or operational benefits, why should we go with hydrogen? You don't seem to have ever made a case that hydrogen is better for Metrolinx.
I suspect that your only real grip with catenary is the wires. As you yourself said
here
Instead of unsightly wires all over the damn place
If all you care about is the wires, go away. We're talking about providing mass transit here for the millions of us that actually live in the GTA. Catenary wires exist literally on every other electrified rail system in the world and the people in those countries seem to live and make do. We can't afford your ideal wireless future right now and many many posters have made it clear that your constant talk about hydrogen is pointless.
And before you retreat behind your motte and claim "but I support battery trains". The same fundamental and key issues with scale that occur with hydrail occur with battery trains. These fundamental issues with scaling mean that waiting around for battery technology to be good enough to use on our entire system means waiting another generation for rapid electrified service across the GO network. That is unacceptable to us as the public and to the government, who is not going to be spending billions of dollars to wait for a technology to mature, or spend billions testing it out for everyone else.
Stop posting about hydrogen or batteries.