X2 Buyer
Active Member
TCO I feel is correct regarding the phenomenon. However, I shudder everytime I hear the "new normal". "Things are different this time" arguments were used to explain why technology stocks justified the 2000 valuations before they came down, why house prices can only go up and never correct to a significant degree downward.
Shtopor makes some very good points that could easily derail house prices at least to some degree. I am not suggesting a crash. However, I think one has to be cautious when pointing to "things are different this go around/new normal now exists".
People need shelters - it distinguishes risk level of technology stocks from one of real estate completely. If bubble ever comes, speculator will stop flipping and things will get slow. Home owners though will not suffer the loss as long as not selling their homes and waiting for the market return. At least real estate price is an upward trend for the century (with inflation adjusted) - that everyone should be in consensus.