2025 Canadian General Election

[thettctransitfanatic]

OTTAWA, ON, April 1, 2025 /CNW/ - The Leaders' Debates Commission has invited the leaders of five political parties to participate in the upcoming leaders' debates, resting its decision on the participation criteria released on January 14, 2025.

The leaders of the following registered political parties are invited to participate in both leaders' debates taking place at the Maison de Radio-Canada in Montréal, Québec on Wednesday, April 16 at 8 p.m. EDT (in French) and Thursday, April 17 at 7 p.m. EDT (in English):

• Liberal Party of Canada
• Conservative Party of Canada
• Bloc Québécois
• New Democratic Party
• Green Party of Canada

In order to be invited by the Commission to participate in the leaders' debates, a leader of a registered political party had to meet two of the following criteria:

(i): on the date the general election is called, the party is represented in the House of Commons by a Member of Parliament who was elected as a member of that party.

(ii): 28 days before the date of the general election, the party receives a level of national support of at least 4%, determined by voting intention, and as measured by leading national public opinion polling organizations, using the average of those organizations' most recently publicly reported results.

(iii): 28 days before the date of the general election, the party has endorsed candidates in at least 90% of federal ridings.

 

[guavadelic]

And shame on CTV for being gutless cowards. Freedom of the press should be sacred to them and yet they buckle at the first hint of pressure? Pathetic. The producer of that morning show needs to be fired immediately.

Seeing how quickly media organizations in the U.S. are bending the knee to Trump, it's clear most of these companies aren't that committed to their principles. The Associated Press seems the only one standing up for the free press.

https://nanos.co/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/2025-2783-ELXN-FED-2025-03-31-Field-Ended.pdf

The age breakdown of that Nanos poll is really eye-catching, goes against conventional wisdom. Liberals are seeing their strongest support in the 55-plus group while the 18-34 group is strongly in favour of the Conservatives. I remember it being the opposite historically.

 

[afransen]

https://nanos.co/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/2025-2783-ELXN-FED-2025-03-31-Field-Ended.pdf

View attachment 640963

Gee, wonder how that happened.

Anyway, if you check the regionals from Nanos and many of the other polls coming out this week, the situation is reaching apocalyptic for Poilievre. If Ontario reaches >50% for LPC, we are talking Chretien level sweep.

edit: CBC Poll tracker for reference: https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/

I feel the Liberals are peaking early and will likely come back to earth a bit as Carney becomes more familiar to the public. He is not without flaws.

I suspect CPC voters may be a bit more motivated and likelier to turn out. It depends if PP runs out of steam for his base.

 

[afransen]

The age breakdown of that Nanos poll is really eye-catching, goes against conventional wisdom. Liberals are seeing their strongest support in the 55-plus group while the 18-34 group is strongly in favour of the Conservatives. I remember it being the opposite historically.

Trump also did surprisingly well with young people, especially young men.

 

[UtakataNoAnnex]

The age breakdown of that Nanos poll is really eye-catching, goes against conventional wisdom. Liberals are seeing their strongest support in the 55-plus group while the 18-34 group is strongly in favour of the Conservatives. I remember it being the opposite historically.

I would speculate that group is being mainly influenced by Gomer Gate, "Alt" Right and Incel factions that are also partially responsible for bringing Trump to power...twice now. /bleh

 

[Johnny Au]

I would speculate that group is being mainly influenced by Gomer Gate, "Alt" Right and Incel factions that are also partially responsible for bringing Trump to power...twice now. /bleh

Here’s a great video explaining why the alt-right targets young men:

 

[UtakataNoAnnex]

I feel the Liberals are peaking early and will likely come back to earth a bit as Carney becomes more familiar to the public. He is not without flaws.

I suspect CPC voters may be a bit more motivated and likelier to turn out. It depends if PP runs out of steam for his base.

...and assuming Trump just magically goes away for this election.

 

[adma]

Seeing how quickly media organizations in the U.S. are bending the knee to Trump, it's clear most of these companies aren't that committed to their principles. The Associated Press seems the only one standing up for the free press.

There's also the matter of Meta Canada's news ban to consider--particularly given how former Harper hack Rachel Curran is in charge of public policy there

The age breakdown of that Nanos poll is really eye-catching, goes against conventional wisdom. Liberals are seeing their strongest support in the 55-plus group while the 18-34 group is strongly in favour of the Conservatives. I remember it being the opposite historically.

And as I've stated before, it might reflect in part *who* was having children when said 18-34's were born--that is, the "Conservatives have children" argument. The proverbial "young family" pigeonhole tarred by association with, well, Andrew Scheer types. And when you're raised in that kind of silo, you get little oxygen for left leanings to be a viable option.

 

[AlvinofDiaspar]

And as I've stated before, it might reflect in part *who* was having children when said 18-34's were born--that is, the "Conservatives have children" argument. The proverbial "young family" pigeonhole tarred by association with, well, Andrew Scheer types. And when you're raised in that kind of silo, you get little oxygen for left leanings to be a viable option.

It is plausible, but the flip of that demographic from Liberals (JT) to Conservatives (PP) within the span of a decade is probably too quick for this kind of mechanism to be the driver. It's fairly evident from the failure of policies to address the problems facing that demographic - and it is older people who have more to lose when the boat is rocked. Also I would argue that the 18-35 demographic is more sensitive influence from US-dominated social media as well (and you can see parallels in the poll around support for joining the US, with heightened levels - albeit still low - for this cohort).

AoD

 

[adma]

Also I would argue that the 18-35 demographic is more sensitive influence from US-dominated social media as well (and you can see parallels in the poll around support for joining the US, with heightened levels - albeit still low - for this cohort).

AoD

And when it comes to that influence, it's also worth noting the utter, progressive eclipse of "traditional" media (and media perspectives) in their lives--that is, they're the sort who'd barely even know that CBC *existed*, and of course such unfamiliarity breeds readily-stoked contempt. And yes, when it comes to this, family environments may play a part--they don't grow up with the kinds of family newspapers and magazines and "common media" like TV and radio that older cohorts grew up with; it's all an antique to them. That is, the social media feeds a cultural vacuum that was already there, often absent-mindedly, within the household. Meanwhile, the kinds of families that still abide by some preemptive semblance of "Laurentian elite" values are ever-fewer and far between...

 

[PinkLucy]

It is plausible, but the flip of that demographic from Liberals (JT) to Conservatives (PP) within the span of a decade is probably too quick for this kind of mechanism to be the driver. It's fairly evident from the failure of policies to address the problems facing that demographic - and it is older people who have more to lose when the boat is rocked. Also I would argue that the 18-35 demographic is more sensitive influence from US-dominated social media as well (and you can see parallels in the poll around support for joining the US, with heightened levels - albeit still low - for this cohort).

AoD

I’d say they are more susceptible to Tik tok sound bites and less likely to go past the clickbait titles and headlines.

 

[Northern Light]

Did anyone else see this poison in the Globe and Mail? :

Opinion: Mark Carney poses a threat to national unity

If he remains prime minister after this election, there is a very real possibility that Western Canada will move to secede

www.theglobeandmail.com

Preston Manning implying that voting for Mark Carney is supporting breaking up the country because Alberta will want to leave. Yikes......

For the record, the polling firm he cites suggests support for that might be as high as 20%........ its a non-starter.

 

[lenaitch]

the kinds of families that still abide by some preemptive semblance of "Laurentian elite" values are ever-fewer and far between

Curious what those values would be. I've heard "Laurentian elites" referred to as persons or groups but not a set of values.

 

[gabe]

And? If we see housing as public problem number 1 on the social policy side, and that we are having issues with cost - be it material and labour - then tackling the latter a must, especially in the context of tradespeople shortage. If anything, there should be a carve out the social and non-profit housing projects should have the exclusive right to use alternative labour sources.

AoD

Labour is a huge problem in this country. We are short tradespeople. As someone who deals with the trades I see a decline in the younger generation wanting to do those jobs. Millennials like me and even Gen Zrers, grew up in a time where parents hammered in “if you don’t get a degree your gonna end up like “insert trade here”” The immigrants we brought in for the diploma mills, don't want to do these jobs either. It's a real mess, and we have hundreds of thousand of boomers retiring from the trades by the end of this decade.

The most recent projections estimate that about 700,000 skilled trades workers are expected to retire between 2019 and 2028, That's ball park numbers, that doesn't count the ones who will scale back work due to poor health or injury.

Government of Canada bolsters the skilled trades sector by investing in training - Canada.ca

Now more than ever, skilled tradespeople are in high demand to fill well-paying jobs and build rewarding careers. The most recent projections estimate that about 700,000 skilled trades workers are expected to retire between 2019 and 2028, creating an ever-growing need to recruit and train...

www.canada.ca

 

[AlvinofDiaspar]

Did anyone else see this poison in the Globe and Mail? :

Opinion: Mark Carney poses a threat to national unity

If he remains prime minister after this election, there is a very real possibility that Western Canada will move to secede

www.theglobeandmail.com

Preston Manning implying that voting for Mark Carney is supporting breaking up the country because Alberta will want to leave. Yikes......

For the record, the polling firm he cites suggests support for that might be as high as 20%........ its a non-starter.

Oh Danielle is working on whipping up a frenzy (and Moe is playing silent partner in it).

AoD