[The initial $4-billion project would be limited to the Montreal-Ottawa-Toronto corridor. Mr. Desjardins-Siciliano listed the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec, Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System, Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, Public Sector Pension Investment Board and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board as interested investors.
Via’s plan falls short of full high-speed rail, but Mr. Desjardins-Siciliano insisted it’s better and more affordable. Via trains can travel up to 160 kilometres an hour
[...]
Toronto-Ottawa
Current trip: 4:01
Dedicated tracks: 2:30
Ottawa-Montreal
Current trip: 1:50
Dedicated tracks: 1:20
Toronto-Montreal
Current trip: 4:42
Dedicated tracks: 3:45]
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news...e-along-quebec-ontario-route/article29638997/
[Currently, Via’s average speed in the shared Montreal-Ottawa-Toronto corridor is 103 kilometres per hour, but a dedicated track for passenger rail would see the average speed increase to between 145 km/h and 153 km/h, with a top speed of 177 km/h.]
http://news.nationalpost.com/news/c...t-get-access-to-dedicated-track-fleet-upgrade
[Via trains could go far faster — up to 160 km/h — cutting travel times. For example, the trip between Toronto and Ottawa would drop to 2.5 hours from four hours now. A trip between Toronto-Montreal would be 3.75 hours — about an hour shorter.]
https://www.thestar.com/news/canada...ew-trains-frequent-service-to-woo-riders.html
[VIA says a dedicated rail track would allow its trains to travel at a "higher conventional speed" of 177 km/h, up from 100 km.h today.]
http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/1...rail-yves-desjardins-siciliano_n_8473342.html
In the event, 160kmh (99mph) is the max allowed for level crossings in Canada for passenger unless a slow order is in effect. (Edit to Add: F40s are limited to 90 or 95 mph, and CN itself applies speed restrictions on the Lakeshore Route below what TC requires)
Most of these claimed average speeds are wildly optimistic, bordering on delusional. Grade crossings are not the issue (apart from a few places in towns/cities where a 15mph limit would be required due to adjacent buildings). We can run up to 110 mph (177 km/h) under TC regulations with the proper upgrades.
The problem the constant sharp curves, especially along the eastern segment of the line between Havelock and Smiths Falls. I don't have an easy way to measure curve radii, but I can visually compare them to curves along the Kingston route that I know the speed limit for. From what I can tell, most of the curves would be in the 70-85 mph range and they're frequent enough that trains would only be able to briefly hit higher speeds in between (not long enough to significantly improve average speeds).
Having dedicated passenger tracks may give a speed advantage over the current mixed-traffic line by allowing a higher cant (tilt) angle for the tracks. But based on the historical tilt train (LRC/Turbo) speed limits we had here, it's not a huge difference. In general the LRC speed limit was only about 5-10 mph faster than the limit for non-tilting passenger trains. A very welcome speed boost, but not a game-changer.
My hope is simply that the proposed Havelock line is no slower than the current Kingston line. Here's the speeds the line would need to achieve to do that:
Toronto - Ottawa
The current fastest train is #646, which covers the 444km Kingston route in 4h07, which is a 107 km/h average (66 mph).
The Havelock route is actually shorter, so the average speed can be lower while still maintaining the same trip time.
To cover the 401 km Havelock route in 4h07, the train needs to average 97 km/h (60 mph). That seems fairly doable given the tracks, so I'm pretty confident that they'll be able to meet or beat current trip times from Toronto to Ottawa.
Toronto - Montreal
The current 539km route via Cornwall takes as little as 4h49 (train 68), which is an average speed of 111 km/h (69 mph).
The proposed route via Havelock and Ottawa is a fair bit longer, so trains would actually need to be faster than the current service to match travel times.
To cover the 587km Havelock/Ottawa route in 4h49, the average speed needs to be 121 km/h (75 mph). That seems somewhat achievable, although it would be faster than current trains which operate on far faster railways than the proposed Havelock Subdivision. But we already know the travel time from Ottawa to Montreal because VIA already has a dedicated and recently-upgraded line for that segment.
The current fastest trains from Ottawa to Montreal take 1h47, so to match the 4h49 trip from Toronto to Montreal, the proposed route needs to cover Toronto-Ottawa in 3h02.
To cover the 401km Toronto-Ottawa segment in 3h02, the train needs to
average 144 km/h (89 mph). Given that the Havelock Subdivision will rarely allow trains to reach 90 mph, let alone average 90 mph, there is absolutely no way that the new route will provide faster Toronto-Montreal times than currently scheduled.