JK likely hit at hard 30% ceiling and then started to reverse causing her own to jump ship. Losing the support of her promoters could be enough to take 5-10% points off. I wouldn't even try to guess Goldys support, I'm shocked its was even at 10% at any point. But the blackout played perfectly into her campaign to fire up the anti-establishment Right voter to be motivated. I really don't know what to expect here, but could become a big storyline afterwards if that number hold 10% or above. Tory just had to remain silent and let his 2 main opponents campaign for him with their polarizing rhetoric. Easiest Mayoral win everIt's close enough to the election to pose this question. Who is most likely to do better than the prediction below, and who will do worse.
The media did their best to promote the #4 and #5 candidates, but I don't think the "others" can top 5%.