crs1026
Superstar
I would not think this is an issue if it weren't for the latest developments.
VIA has given the GO ahead for GO service to London and obviously that service will increase dramatically over the next decade and beyond and due to GO service from KW all day soon coming, VIA has effectively begun the slow retreat from the service entirely. All one has to do is look at the same scenario that is taking place in Niagara where the VIA website now simply mentions rail service by working with it's "partners" at GO & Amtrak. When you now go to VIA's schedules for Niagara service you will find that there no longer is one.
Amtrak will find the Chicago/Detroit/Toronto a very lucrative one as Detroit to Toronto ridership explodes and very high ridership numbers at London and Windsor. When you combine this with VIA's purely political decision to provide HFR to QC and not London, it does make one wonder. When it comes to revenue per km the Union/London route requires the least amount of subsidy in the entire VIA system so financially it should be the very first line to get HFR yet VIA seems content to do absolutely nothing with this key corridor.
It certainly is not an "oversight" but possibly a long-term plan for VIA to not spend the money on a service that they are trying to retreat from?
I don’t see Amtrak about to “explode” service to Toronto…. did service thru Niagara “explode” when the Maple Leaf was inaugurated? VIA’s retreat from Niagara came later and happened for other reasons.
Opening the CP Windsor tunnel to passenger service might possibly lead to a couple Detroit-Toronto trains per day. (I can’t see CP accepting much more than that.)
There will be through ridership to Michigan and on to Chicago, and that might amount to a couple of international carloads per day in each direction …. certainly enough to make the service valuable as an increment to existing Chicago-Detroit and Toronto-Windsor services. But VIA will be left with its current service pattern and opportunity.
I think you are reading too much into GO starting token service to London. That does not put through Toronto-London-Windsor service at risk, and might actually add some riders to it.
In my heart I would like to see a much more aggressive development of service west of Toronto, but that inaction is a waste of opportunity rather than a risk to what we have running today. I expect to see modest growth in VIA’s numbers and market share year over year especially if HFR happens to the east.
- Paul