Platform 27
Active Member
Assuming a subway from Kennedy to STC costs 2 billion (which just barely comes under the term "billions"), the billions are from extending the subway to STC, not from eliminating the transfer at Kennedy per se.
Yes you could argue it's just semantics. But my point is 2 billion dollars isn't just to eliminate the transfer, it's to bring the subway system to Lawrence East and Scarborough Centre, especially in light of the SRT coming to the end of its life which provides a perfect opportunity to run the SRT into the ground while the Danforth extension is built underneath. I'm glad we have a visionary mayor who will make this happen. We should all feel so blessed in this new year.
OK, let's go through this step by step.
Right now, there's a fully-grade separated rapid transit corridor running from Kipling in the west to McCowan in the east, with a transfer at Kennedy.
Existing committed provincial dollars will extend that corridor deeper into the northeast of the city, from McCowan to Burrows Hall (Sheppard & Progress) via Centennial College. Still fully grade-separated, still one transfer at Kennedy.
Proposed further funding would extend that corridor from Burrows Hall to Malvern. Still fully grade-separated, still one transfer at Kennedy.
If you, or your visionary mayor, want to move (not eliminate) that corridor's one mid-trip transfer point, presumably with the (laudable) overall aim of reducing the total number of folks who have to transfer, you should account for the cost of relocating it as $(x - y) dollars, where $x is the cost of building new subway from Kennedy to STC, and $y is the cost of freshening the SRT from Kennedy to STC. I don't think anyone here knows exactly what that number is. Presumably folks at the TTC and Metrolinx are trying to crunch it at this very moment. Suffice it to say it is not a small number--well south of $2 billion, yes, but it's not like that means it's small.
We still haven't heard what you or your visionary mayor have in mind for the part of the corridor from STC to McCowan, or McCowan to Centennial College, or Centennial College to Burrows Hall, or Burrows Hall to Malvern. Assuming you want to junk the SRT guideway between STC and McCowan and not build any kind of higher-order transit past STC, it means a whole bunch of buses converging on STC, where people who began their journeys at places like, say, Centennial College and Malvern, will--that word again--transfer. They will get on a subway line that will be at something like one-quarter of ridership capacity by 2031 and save a grand total of 2 minutes travel time, which will help offset the gained travel time they had to deal with on the bus leg of their trip.
We haven't even began mentioning the folks in condos at Brimley and Bellamy who could look forward to TOD infill stations on the existing line but who are SOL if the SRT gets tossed. Same with proposed development around McCowan.
You also keep talking about the benefits of a new subway station at Lawrence East, either at the low-density intersection of Lawrence and Brimley that was in the plans the last go round, or perhaps serving the slightly more ridership-friendly intersection at Lawrence and McCowan (where there's at least a smallish hospital), and yes, there'd be some benefits from bringing higher order transit there. But you fail to mention the reasonably-busy SRT station surrounded by high-density at Lawrence East that vanishes.
So let's look at that $(x - y) cost and see what it's bought us: we've moved a transfer point. We've eliminated a transfer for a fairly modest number of riders (not all by a long shot, unless untold thousands of folks are sleeping in the stores at Scarborough Town Centre at night). We've increased the bus component of the trip for a fairly large portion of the ridership that actually starts their journey every day to the northeast of STC. And, most importantly, I think, we've solved the great vehicle girth-envy dilemma that so plagues the good folks of Scarborough: no longer will they sit in narrowish second-class trains. They will have nice, wide trains, just like all those spoiled brats west of Victoria Park... all the better to stretch out their legs into space not actually needed to accomodate passengers.
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