Chris R.
Senior Member
So two items of note:5 years construction is realistic I think - but I fear we are underestimating the procurement timeline. This is going through the typical IO P3 process.
The Hurontario LRT issued it's RFQ in October of 2016, and had it's winning bidder selected October 2019. So 3 years in procurement.
Finch west had its RFQ issued September 2015, winning bidder was selected May 2018. So 2.5 years.
Hamilton hasn't even had it's RFQ issued yet. The last IO market update didn't even list the project as having a tentative time for RFQ issue.
Assuming optimistically the RFQ gets issued Q2 2024, and a 2.5 year procurement, we are looking at:
RFQ: Q2 2024
RFP: Q1 2025
Project Close: Q4 2026
Construction start: Q1 2027
Construction completion: Q1 2032
And that is if the RFQ is issued Q2 2024, and if the procurement process takes only 2.5 years. And if construction takes 5 years.
1) The Hamilton LRT is recommended to not be done through a P3 model. Additionally it's my understanding that the project will be split into various smaller contracts, which should speed things up as not every contract needs to be awarded at once.
2) Because much of the design work is being done in-house right now behind the scenes, from what I've heard from transit planner insiders is that the RFQ process could occur much more quickly as they don't need to design and build, just build. I'll see if I can find the exact wording they used.