News   Jun 14, 2024
 1.9K     1 
News   Jun 14, 2024
 1.4K     1 
News   Jun 14, 2024
 777     0 

Referendum on Transit City needed

But facts and figures are irrelevant. Just go with your gut. If I feel like the density along Sheppard is the same as the density along the Danforth, who are you to tell me differently? Some egghead elite?

gee, sounds like you're emulating a rotund fornicating newly elected mayor of Toronto. bravo sir!
 
Ah the partisans are in full swing.

'Referendum'? Ford ran on the platform of a subway, not Transit city, that was no secret. I think the election was the referendum....

If the election was a referendum, and if 47.114% voted for heavy rail subway only by voting for Rob Ford, then 47.337% voted for a Transit City (if not more) which most of the other main candidates were for.

If we were voting for subway vs Transit City, why were we wasting all those debates and editorials on other items. I think there were people who were looking at "stopping the gravy train", which had nothing to do with transit.
 
The belief that Ford has a mandate to build subways because it was part of his platform is particularly crazy. Would people using that argument also agree that Ford now has a mandate to hire 100 more police officers? Or move marathons to parks?

I voted for Smitherman and I disliked almost half of his platform. Compromise is a big part of supporting a candidate.
 
You have to wonder just property values will be affected by the cancellation of Transit City? Inevitably that will have an affect on who's paying the taxes.
 
But facts and figures are irrelevant. Just go with your gut. If I feel like the density along Sheppard is the same as the density along the Danforth, who are you to tell me differently? Some egghead elite?

Perhaps you should take a look at the facts... it's based on census from 2001.

That being said, yes I might have been exaggerating... but take a look at the towers that are being built along shepperd, @ , donmills, kennedy (TRIDEL has 4 projects that have gone, (VEntus, Solaris, Metrogate townhomes)

The density and condo towers that are up around scarborough town centre.
The 5000 unit project that's been approved by Warden & finch, all those apartment buildings.

Perhaps a drive (or even better a TTC ride) to actually see what's going on up there, but it is north of bloor, so you might have to bring your GPS....

Shouldnt' call yourself an 'egghead elite' at least until you've actually been there.
 
Last edited:
Sounds good. Quick question about going North of Bloor - how many days of emergency supplies should I bring?

I think 2 days supply of granola bars and a toped up metal canteen should be sufficient.

You might even find a park that you can lay out the yoga mat!
 
Sounds good. Quick question about going North of Bloor - how many days of emergency supplies should I bring?

You won't need anything but running shoes, ever see a polar bear?
 
A friend of mine did some analysis. To support a subway, all other things being equal:

(1) with (50%+) significant subsidy you need at least 4000 people per square kilometre to support regular service.

(2) with less subsidy (33%+) you need at least 7000 people per square kilometre to support regular service (Singapore density).

(3) without subsidy/recover costs entirely from the fare box, you need at least 25,000 people per square kilometre.


I can provide spreadsheets with the amount of population and housing increase each ward would need to get to these levels. Meanwhile, Denver has made LRT work with federal funding for less than 300 people per square kilometre, which is like Detroit wasteland density.

With permanent gas tax/50%+ subsidy, it might be possible to make subway work all over the city by 2036, ignoring the actual capital cost, or mobility issues of an aging population.

With lesser subsidy, we’d need at least 4.5 million people in the current Toronto to make it work, which is at least a million extra people than any population projection envisions – and all the work he's been doing here suggests the government projections are way too fucking optimistic already.

With no subsidy we’d need about 16 million+ people within the current Toronto, which I can’t even begin to imagine.

I was curious as to what Toronto looked like right now using your criteria, so I made a map...

projectdensitysm2.png


Of course, I don't agree with your criteria, but it's still interesting to see it mapped out.
 
That's a great map. What most jumps out at me is why the heck a subway to Vaughan is taking priority over so many more needed projects.

The big missing item, and one that might be affecting Vaughan, is employment. The financial district has over 100,000 jobs in some of those tracts, but is a low density, no transit needed zone according to the map.
 
This may be of interest:


Dear Residents;

Over the past week, I have received thousands of emails in support of Transit City. I am in the process of replying to each of those letters, but in the meantime I wanted to be sure that you know where I stand on this important programme.

I have always supported Transit City and continue to believe that it is the best opportunity to provide a mass transit network to the City of Toronto. It is not simply the best we can do under the circumstances; it’s the right thing to do period.

As a municipal project, much more than just transportation needs are addressed by Transit City. The programme delivers train service to virtually every corner of the city while providing opportunities for economic, social and cultural renewal to some of Toronto's most distressed neighbourhoods.

Transit City provides cheap, efficient and environmentally sound transportation to the city’s priority neighbourhoods. These are communities that are struggling under the weight of poor housing, social isolation and diminished economic opportunity. Transit City delivers connectivity and affluence to these areas. With the introduction of Transit City, land values go up and create platforms for revitalization of the housing stock which will bring jobs and economic opportunity to the commercial properties in the area. New tax revenue flows from this investment. City-owned lands increase in value and public investments in local social infrastructure like schools, libraries, community health centres and recreation centres suddenly become more sustainable.

The innovative Tower Renewal Project relies on land values being inflated by proximity to transit. Open fields and abandoned industrial land, like the properties around the Woodbine racetrack, are brought to market with an investment and service like Transit City. Other city projects like the revitalization of the Yonge-Eglinton bus bays also benefit by becoming major transit nodes. Without the additional lines that Transit City provides, these projects will fail to deliver the economic and social benefits first predicted. The city will be left poorer as a result.

Cancelling Transit City will also cost the city hundreds of millions of dollars in penalties and unneeded studies and Environmental Assessments. Additionally, despite the expenditures the city is left with the status quo. The status quo is a woefully deficient transportation system. According to the Board of Trade gridlock is currently costing Toronto’s economy billions in lost productivity.

Replacing the transit part of the city’s approach to fighting gridlock from Light Rapid Transit (LRT) to subways will cost billions more and actually deliver less service, or at best, the same amount of transit capacity. The only thing that changes is the length of a bus ride and the station you arrive at.

Financing

The incoming Mayor has said development charges can pay for the change in strategy. Intensification was already a controversial part of the Transit City costing estimates. Suburban neighbourhoods are on record as being opposed to doubling the as-of-right heights on streets with proposed LRTs. If jumping from 3 stories to 6 stories is currently unacceptable, what will these communities say when 40 storey towers are proposed along subway routes? To pay for the increased costs for subway lines through development charges, hundreds of buildings in this scale would need to be built. Putting aside whether the residents in these areas could stomach this kind of intensification, can the market absorb this kind of massive infusion of new units along suburban thoroughfares?

Setting Priorities & Planning

Then there is the issue of which line to build first. Do we extend Sheppard? Do we replace the Scarborough LRT? Is it the Finch Loop? After that decision is made, there is the cost and time involved in designing a new line, re-structuring a vehicle purchase to add subways and then the timelines for acquiring property, realigning underground infrastructure, switching the tunnelling contracts and building the one or two extra stations to meet the goals of subway first and subways only as a priority. None of this includes the legal fees attached to changing the plans.

Collateral Costs

Surface transportation also offers other opportunities. Once you build a subway, adding additional stops is virtually impossible. History also shows that while surface rapid transit stretches out intensification and distributes economic benefits along routes, subways tend to generate nodal developments with little impact between stations. Additionally, the new LRTs ordered for Transit City are not a good fit for our existing downtown streetcar lines. We may well end up with massive inner city streetcars that propel service cuts to operate.

Subways also need to be fed. In the suburbs massive bus bays will need to be constructed to deliver passengers to the subway. Local density is not enough. This too will cost money or underperforming lines will drive up costs or force service cuts elsewhere.

In other words after billions of new dollars, years of delay and construction and hundreds of other impacts what we end up with is a slightly more convenient subway line for a very few people and the status quo if we are lucky for the rest.

Respect for Taxpayers?

All of this has been decided without a public debate or comprehensive analysis of the impact of a decision made by one person, alone in an office at City Hall. This is not only no way to run a rail road, it’s no way to run a city.

Some of the leadership of City Hall may have changed, but the values, needs and expectations of Toronto residents have not. I am heartened by your willingness to speak up for the kind of City you want to build with us here at City Hall. We need to work together to ensure that residents across our City understand the importance of delivering Transit City and that they join with us in this fight.

Please encourage your networks to send letters and make calls to the Mayor, Executive Committee members, TTC Commissioners and Councillors.

In the meantime I will fight to save Transit City, as a councillor, as a citizen and as a Toronto transit rider.

Sincerely,

Adam Vaughan
 

Back
Top