W. K. Lis
Superstar
I'm betting Milton will see a big uptick in population. (A good candidate for a subway, subway, subway based on Scarborough's desires.)
I think it will have slowed down a little compared to last census. Definitely in terms of % growth, maybe even net growth. But it will still be one of the fastest growing communities. Stouffville, Bradford and New Tecumseth will probably be its main competitors for highest % growth in the CMA, although King City, Caledon have started booming too compared to previously low growth rates. East Gwilimbury will likely be #1 for % growth for 2016-2021 but looks like the big developments there just got started last year so we shouldn't see much for 2011-2016.I'm betting Milton will see a big uptick in population. (A good candidate for a subway, subway, subway based on Scarborough's desires.)
I think it will have slowed down a little compared to last census. Definitely in terms of % growth, maybe even net growth. But it will still be one of the fastest growing communities. Stouffville, Bradford and New Tecumseth will probably be its main competitors for highest % growth in the CMA, although King City, Caledon have started booming too compared to previously low growth rates. East Gwilimbury will likely be #1 for % growth for 2016-2021 but looks like the big developments there just got started last year so we shouldn't see much for 2011-2016.
Highest net growth should still be Toronto and Brampton, followed by Markham, Ajax, Vaughan, Oakville and Milton.
It looks like the GTA's growth has slowed considerably since the previous census. Wonder if this is a temporary aberration or a sign of things to come.
I think Finch West LRT is fine since it's responding to existing demand for transit. Some of the areas served are fairly dense, and Jane-Finch has car ownership rates significantly lower than in North Toronto and comparable to ca 1900 streetcar suburbs like the Bloor West Village, Danforth and St Clair W in terms of car ownership and car mode share.I expected something to the tune of 5-6%. While it does feel like we are growing a lot you have to remember that the other cities in Canada that are growing much faster than we are include the ones in the West (namely: Calgary, Edmonton and Saskatoon). Even today if you look at the maps of these cities you'll see that they really aren't that big and that they still have room to grow. Compare that to Toronto that has built-up area going well beyond the 416, making our metro area a very mature one compared to theirs. It's only natural that percentage-wise, we end up growing slower than they are. Really though, I would also say what we're experiencing is more of a stable growth rather than one saying we're going to stagnate; in the worst case scenario I think we're going to plateau from here.
For us to have a growth rate double than what we have now we need to do some big time densification. Unfortunately we don't have the supporting infrastructure for that. We don't even have concrete plans for the downtown relief line, all we're getting is the Finch West LRT, Line 1 extension and Scarborough subway which are all a step in the wrong direction because they're encouraging suburbanization more than anything. Torontonians think they live in a world class city without wanting to let go of the draconian auto-centric built environment they are in