PM Mark Carney's Canada

[Admiral Beez]

Canada helping Cuba weather the US embargo will not sit well with Orange man. Tough sh#t, I say.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/ottawa-funding-cuba-9.7105223

 

[kEiThZ]

My hope is that Carney’s primary goal is to reverse the lost decade (2014-2024) where Canada’s economic growth fell far behind the rest of the OECD. For example, Canada’s GDP per capita growth from 2014 to 2024 was just 0.5%—the U.S. figure was 20.7%, according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook report from October 2024. The damage done to Canada’s economy during the Trudeau era relative to other leading economies is notable.

Just how much damage did Justin Trudeau do to Canada’s economy?

The Trudeau government’s economic legacy in five charts

thehub.ca

Now, if Carney’s can wreck the Conservative’s far right agenda and also force a hard reset of the NDP, that’s a bonus.

This is an incredibly tough task given that so much of what's broken in Canada is straight up bad cultural habits and legacy.

From protectionism to the sort of naive foreign policy and environmentalism of the Trudeau era. And Carney will not be able to change that in one term or three.

 

[kEiThZ]

Canada helping Cuba weather the US embargo will not sit well with Orange man. Tough sh#t, I say.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/ottawa-funding-cuba-9.7105223

It's tokenism. And I honestly don't see the point. $8M doesn't do much. And if Cuba really fails, it's the Americans who will suffer the consequences of a refugee crisis and degraded security environment of having a failed state on their doorstep. We should absolutely let the Trump administration own that failure.

 

[wopchop]

It's tokenism. And I honestly don't see the point. $8M doesn't do much. And if Cuba really fails, it's the Americans who will suffer the consequences of a refugee crisis and degraded security environment of having a failed state on their doorstep. We should absolutely let the Trump administration own that failure.

That is pretty callous. It is $8m in funding for food aid and UNICEF. The point is so people don't starve, as Cuba imports the vast majority of its food.

 

[lenaitch]

It's tokenism. And I honestly don't see the point. $8M doesn't do much. And if Cuba really fails, it's the Americans who will suffer the consequences of a refugee crisis and degraded security environment of having a failed state on their doorstep. We should absolutely let the Trump administration own that failure.

I'm still trying to figure out the Administration's angle on this. I get that he cut off Cuba's main fuel supplier but he could have easily replaced it with US sources. Does he honestly see Cuba as a national security threat or is it just part of his wanting to overall control the 'American hemisphere'?

The Communist boogeyman seems still strong in the US psyche.

 

[kEiThZ]

I'm still trying to figure out the Administration's angle on this. I get that he cut off Cuba's main fuel supplier but he could have easily replaced it with US sources. Does he honestly see Cuba as a national security threat or is it just part of his wanting to overall control the 'American hemisphere'?

The Communist boogeyman seems still strong in the US psyche.

I think this is Rubio's personal project. No actual masterplan beyond that.

 

[Full Metal Junkie]

Does he honestly see Cuba as a national security threat or is it just part of his wanting to overall control the 'American hemisphere'?

I think this is Rubio's personal project. No actual masterplan beyond that.

Communist Cuba has been the thorn in America's side for decades. It goes beyond Trump and Rubio's pet project. Heck, the world almost ended in a nuclear apocalypse over Cuba in the 60's.
And while the treat of Cuba being the launchpad for an attack on the America by USSR is over, the treat of China doing the same is perceived by the US to be real. China has way too much influence over Cuba. And they already have multiple ISR sites on Cuba to spy on America. And that's just the stuff we know of from open sources.
China and the US are steaming full speed towards a war with each other. Eliminating Cuba from the equation before the war with China kicks off would be a prudent move for the US.
Call that 'control over the Western hemisphere', call it whatever else you want. That is the logic behind their actions towards Cuba as outlined in their National Security Strategy.

(For the record, I'm not defending their actions, merely explaining their logic as I interpret it from NSS).

 

[hw621]

Communist Cuba has been the thorn in America's side for decades. It goes beyond Trump and Rubio's pet project. Heck, the world almost ended in a nuclear apocalypse over Cuba in the 60's.
And while the treat of Cuba being the launchpad for an attack on the America by USSR is over, the treat of China doing the same is perceived by the US to be real. China has way too much influence over Cuba. And they already have multiple ISR sites on Cuba to spy on America. And that's just the stuff we know of from open sources.
China and the US are steaming full speed towards a war with each other. Eliminating Cuba from the equation before the war with China kicks off would be a prudent move for the US.
Call that 'control over the Western hemisphere', call it whatever else you want. That is the logic behind their actions towards Cuba as outlined in their National Security Strategy.

(For the record, I'm not defending their actions, merely explaining their logic as I interpret it from NSS).

Will the war between China and US be hot or cold?

 

[Full Metal Junkie]

Will the war between China and US be hot or cold?

Very much a hot one, according to the fresh pentagon report.
China is looking to exploit a limited timing window with their military buildup, which [in China's view] would create a credible deterrent for US involvement over Taiwan. That window opens in 2027 and closes in 2028. If we don't see the war start then, the next timing window China is looking at is mid-30's.