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PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

It's interesting how defenders of Dong have grabbed on to the story itself and have completely ignored his other history of pro-China sympathies. Most famously not showing up for votes condemning the Uighurs. And nobody seems to question why an MP was talking privately to the Chinese Consul with no other witnesses (something Dong doesn't deny). That is not normal behaviour at all. The Globe story could prove to be exaggerated and it still wouldn't exonerate Dong's bizarre ties to Chinese agents.

Best part? If he sues the Globe, they get to call all kinds of staffers and politicians as witnesses . Going to be quite the show.
 
I suppose that's fair. If Trudeau runs again, he will likely be the last Liberal leader who wins an election before the next spell of Conservative rule. I suspect Poilievre has the right mix of canny and timing to win. No reason for Freeland to stick around to captain the ship as it sink beneath the waves as Kim Campbell did. Could be that she could return after a stint at NATO to attempt replace the placeholder Liberal leader of the opposition in 8-10 years.
I definitely see Freeland taking an exit soon, and I suspect this will be her final budget before resigning. The unwritten rule ever since Pearson resigned in 1968 is that any LPC leader who wants to be PM (rather than languishing in Opposition) must be a Quebecer. So, there is no future for Freeland in the party or government, she's already at the pinnacle of what she can achieve. Freeland will resign and with her fluent French, Ukrainian and Russian may be a good candidate for a top role in re-building Ukraine and working to re-build the West's relations with a presumably Post-Putin Russia.

Trudeau will likely also soon leave, and will likely not contest the next election. So, he needs a Kim Campbell, with Quebec's Joly being the obvious choice.
 
I want Anand as PM. And I hate to say that I'm not sure if she's necessarily charismatic enough to win.
And she's not a Quebecer. Anand would end up like every post-Pearson non-Quebecer LPC leader, be it Graham, Ignatief or Rae.... all placeholders until a Quebecer can be found to take the party out of the wilderness. Mind you, Dion was a Quebec and a useless sack, so sometimes you swing and you miss.
 
And she's not a Quebecer. Anand would end up like every post-Pearson non-Quebecer LPC leader, be it Graham, Ignatief or Rae.... all placeholders until a Quebecer can be found to take the party out of the wilderness. Mind you, Dion was a Quebec and a useless sack, so sometimes you swing and you miss.
Wasn't Graham literally interim leader?
 
Wasn't Graham literally interim leader?
So was Rae, I believe. Interim until a suitable Quebecer can be found. Problem is, if Trudeau steps down the Quebecer with the highest name recognition is Poilievre. Joly, Guilbeault or other Quebecers in Trudeau’s cabinet may have trouble standing up to Poilevre on campaign.
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I will leave it to the Media to report on much of the budget; I have slipped a couple of items in their respective threads. Instead, I will offer a brief (for me, LOL) comment; and then a few tidbits I think might fly under the radar.

Comment: The deficit is going the wrong directly, up about 10B vs the 1 year ago projection. A cursory examination of the numbers reveals a few things, one is that economic growth is under performing expectations, though, not by much, yet. A bigger story is the massive corporate tax credit giveaway to lure 'clean tech', 'hydrogen' and assorted other industries according to the government. I'm not convinced. I think if there was a need to attract some of these businesses, and I'd accept that, to a point; then we need to consider whether what we're buying truly pays off on a net basis; at the level of tax expenditure we're seeing here, I'm dubious. I would add here, that if we were to make such investments, I'd prefer they seek to reduce fixed-costs for inputs that tax on profit. (as an example, provincially, the business education tax is a fixed cost paid whether a business is profitable or not, and it may impair a business earning a profit in the first place) To me its better to reduce that type of tax or fee rather than a 'fair share' fee.

There are some good things in the budget, some of which I will discuss below, but many are offset in one way or another or lack a proper analytical framework (at least publicly).

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First a link to the Budget for those of you with the patience to get through its 250 odd pages........


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Things I like:

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I took part in the consultation for this; I'm disappointed they didn't go further, though they are leaving the door open to that. I had suggested a 2-part cap of 30% or 25 points over prime which ever is less.

Both are still extortionist rates, but I was aiming for something I felt was pragmatically do-able. Still, this will help many low-income earners (who rely on such debt from time to time) to the tune of a $100-$300 per year for most.

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Also good, and overdue. Though I would have argued for capping fees for all businesses in line w/what retailers in other western countries pay.

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Smart-grid stuff, long overdue, good!

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Some infrastructure stuff, I'm not sufficiently read up on these to opinionate, but others here may have thoughts.

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Here's something that may be necessary but ought not to be:

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What we need in lieu of this are several changes to how mortgages are handled in Canada.

1) Higher down payments should be required

2) Variable rate mortgages should not be available to anyone financing more than 50% of the equity in their home. A mortgage should not be casino money.

3) Mortgage terms should be longer (Unless your paying to zero within the specified period, Mortgages should be at least 10-years and should result in someone owning at least 50% of their home on renewal. This provides stability
both to the mortgagee and to the banks.

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Things I don't like:

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Sure, we need more affordable housing, and lots of it; but as seen with Swansea Mews and Jane Firgrove before that, many existing RGI units and Shelters are in poor repair. Taking money from that funding stream to build more is entirely unreasonable. The funding should come from elsewhere.


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A few more items later.
 
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So I wanted to shift discussion of the recent TTC Stabbing and related over to here, so we don't clog up that that thread with what is really a series of inter-related issues about the Justice system, probation, mental illness, addiction and homelessness.

As many of these issues are Federal in nature (some are also provincial) this seemed a more apt place.

The Star has a story today shedding some light on the criminal record (not comprehensive) of the suspect in the Keele Station murder.

https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/20...n-ordered-into-mental-health-counselling.html (paywalled)

Understanding that we still lack many of the requisite details, I want to bring some of the above forward:

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I don't know what the 'sexual assault' entailed as that's not in the story; this matters in as much as that can encompass anything from an unwanted grope to rape/sexual violence.

The sentence of one-day, even allowing for 100 days in pre-trial custody certainly seems problematic.

A key here to me is that even w/o the details of the assault, we know he already violated conditions of a previous release order; I'm one to defend extending people some benefit of the doubt; but if they've demonstrated that choice
to be unwise, I'm not sure why we should extend same again....

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In light of what unfolded subsequently, I'd like to know more about the below:

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Then there's this:

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There's plenty more, but I will finish with this........which may perplex me as much or more than anything else:

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Let me get this straight, this person is homeless, has no fixed address, no resources to speak of; is suffering from mental illness and addiction issues............

And it is left to him to find and apply to a program for help sometime within 3 weeks of his release? What the @#$#

Really it doesn't matter whether one has the 'tough on crime' disposition or 'bleeding heart' disposition.........either way that's just plain stupid.

'The system should have arranged the appropriate treatment for him while he was in custody, such treatment should have begun while he was in custody, and indeed, his release should have been conditional on a favourable assessment
from a mental health professional.

He should have had any program he needed in place outside of a Corrections facility in place prior to his release, and the system ought to have found him a place to stay.

That's not undue sympathy for a man who is now a murderer, but rather a suggestion that he need not have become one, had 'the system' been more thoughtful in past interactions with him.
 
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This combined with recent news that 20-25% of residential mortgages are underwater is very telling.

The Feds, in concert with the banks, are pulling out all the stops to prevent the housing bubble from bursting. In the face of a strong interest rate shock, it looks like the banks are gambling they can extend-and-pretend until rates drop.

This also explains how the CMHC gets "record low" mortgage delinquencies, which seemed an extremely dubious stat given the rate shock.

Plus with the Feds pumping a million people per year into the country, we've truly gone all in on real estate.

Bad enough as this is, we've been ridiculously lucky that employment hasn't yet cratered from the rate shock. And if it does, there's no way the banks can extend-and-pretend their/our way out of it. We're dancing over the edge of the precipice.

I imagine the next step will be the BoC swapping newly minted bailout cash for distressed mortgages like the U.S. Fed is already doing for their banks' toxic assets.
 
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Vatican formally repudiates Doctrine of Discovery that allowed colonial-era seizure of Indigenous lands

From link.

The Vatican met one of the long-standing demands of Indigenous groups in Canada by repudiating the Doctrine of Discovery and the associated Papal decrees that had allowed the colonial-era seizure of Indigenous lands.

During his visit to Canada last July, Pope Francis came under pressure from Indigenous groups for a formal repudiation of the 15th century decrees, known as Papal Bulls, which gave European kingdoms the backing to take new territories so they could be turned into Christian lands.

Francis never spoke directly about repudiating the Bulls even if he apologized profusely for past abuses, including the establishment of the largely Catholic residential school system that forcibly removed Indigenous children from their homes. On the flight back to Rome from Canada, he referred to the policies of Indigenous disenfranchisement and forced assimilation as “genocide” but did not say when the Papal Bulls might be torn down.

In a joint statement issued Thursday, the Vatican’s Dicastery for Promoting Integral Human Development, headed by Canadian Cardinal Michael Czerny, and the Dicastery for Culture and Education said that the Papal Bulls had never been expressions of Catholic faith. The same message was delivered by the Canadian Conference of Catholic Bishops during the Papal tour; their representatives said the doctrine had no legal authority in the Church.

“The ‘Doctrine of Discovery’ is not part of the teachings of the Catholic Church,” the dicasteries said. “At the same time, the Church acknowledges that these papal bulls did not adequately reflect the equal dignity and rights of Indigenous peoples. The Church is also aware that the contents of these documents were manipulated for political purposes by competing colonial powers in order to justify immoral acts against Indigenous peoples.”

The statement came a day after Pope Francis was sent by ambulance to Rome’s Gemelli hospital for what the Vatican called treatment for a respiratory infection, raising concerns about the health and staying power of the 86-year-old Argentinian Pontiff. On Thursday, the Vatican said “the clinical picture is progressively improving and the planned treatments continue,” though Francis was to remain in hospital for a few days.

In an interview, Cardinal Czerny said Francis was certainly aware that the dicasteries’ statement was to be released Thursday. There was no suggestion from the Vatican that it was done at his request to bolster his legacy. The Pope has hinted several times that he would retire, as his predecessor Pope Benedict XVI did, if he became incapable of performing his duties for health reasons.

Scholars have argued that the legal basis for the Doctrine of Discovery is found in various Papal documents, notably three Papal Bulls from the mid- and late 15th century. Papal Bulls are a type of public decree or charter that have been used since the 7th century, though the phrase itself did not emerge until the 13th century.

They also claimed that the Papal Bulls authorized European power to take control of non-Christian lands in the Americas and elsewhere. One of them, issued by Pope Nicholas V, authorized King Afonso of Portugal to conquer “Saracens, pagans and other enemies of Christ” and to take their belongings, including land, “to convert them to you and your use, and your successors the Kings of Portugal.”

Cardinal Czerny said that the Bulls, which carried the Vatican seal, became invalid in the first half of the 16th century, when Pope Paul III’s Bull, “Sublimis Deus,” tried to protect Indigenous peoples from the colonial powers. In the Bull, he said, “Indians and all other people who may later be discovered by Christians are by no means to be deprived of their liberty or the possession of their property.”

While the repudiation of the Bulls took an inordinate amount of time, it appears that this formality would become inevitable in 2015, when Francis, two years after he was appointed Pope, travelled to Bolivia. There he asked the Church to “kneel before God and implore forgiveness for the past and present sins of her sons and daughters,” referring to the sins committed against the Indigenous peoples of the Americas in the name of God during the brutal colonial eras.

Cardinal Czerny said, “The Holy See, the Canadian and American Bishops, really [wanted] this statement, which regrets what happened, to help healing and reconciliation with the Indigenous Peoples.”

The dicasteries closed their statement calling for a greater implementation of the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples. “The implementation of those principles would improve the living conditions and help protect the rights of Indigenous peoples as well as facilitate their development in a way that respects their identity, language and culture,” they said.

Cardinal Czerny said, “Going forward, the Catholic Church aims to continue its pursuit of justice. This necessitates improving relationships with Indigenous communities, listening to the needs of survivors and being ready to engage in solidarity with Indigenous communities as they strive to address inequalities, racism and systemic injustices.”
 

Caroline Mulroney says the federal environment minister ‘will do anything’ to stop Highway 413

From link.

Transportation Minister Caroline Mulroney is charging that federal Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault “will do anything to stop” Highway 413 from being built.

But Guilbeault’s office countered that Premier Doug Ford’s government needs to submit its environmental paperwork before the project can proceed.

Revving up the rhetoric between the province and Guilbeault, Mulroney called upon “Liberal MPs in Peel Region to stand up in their caucus and to stand up to their federal minister” to promote the highway.

“It’s clear that Minister Guilbeault will do anything to stop this project from getting built,” she said Monday of the proposed 60-kilometre Milton-Vaughan freeway linking Highways 401 and 400.

Every riding along the route is represented by a Tory MPP and a Liberal MP.

Mulroney’s comments come after Ford described the federal minister as “a real piece of work” on Thursday for his claim Ontario has no plan to fight climate change.

In an interview broadcast Sunday with Vassy Kapelos on CTV’s Question Period, Guilbeault shrugged off the barb and outlined his many differences with the provincial Progressive Conservatives.

“My role as environmental and climate change minister is to work to ensure that Canadians have access to cleaner air, cleaner water, healthy ecosystems, which leads to healthy Canadians — and on that it seems that the premier of Ontario and myself have a difference of opinion as to what needs to be done,” he said.

“I didn’t say that Ontario wasn’t doing anything. I said that the Ontario government has no climate plan, which is true and they’ve admitted as much themselves,” the minister told Kapelos.

“A plan to me is you list a series of measures whether they’re regulatory, legislative (or) investment, you have targets, you have annual reports, you track your progress — what’s going well, what’s not, which is exactly what we’re doing federally,” he said.

“Ontario has none of that. They have a strategy … but it’s not a climate plan,” said Guilbeault, who also criticized Queen’s Park for not addressing Indigenous concerns over the Ring of Fire mining development in northern Ontario.

But on Highway 413, Mulroney said Ottawa “moved the goalposts” by saying the project requires a federal environmental impact assessment — even though in March 2020 it said the freeway did not need one.

“That’s why last week my ministry sent a letter to the federal government expressing that this is unacceptable, especially for a project that is so critical to our province,” she said.

“We’ve actually been working collaboratively with the federal government for many years on their questions with respect to the impact on the environment and on species at risk.”

In a statement Monday, Guilbeault’s aide Oliver Anderson said the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada is still waiting for information from the province “in order to begin the ‘planning phase’ of the impact assessment process.”

“The project cannot advance as long as the province does not fulfil this step in the process,” said Anderson.

“To suggest that Minister Guilbeault has any predetermined view about a project that was designated before his time as minister and an assessment process that hasn’t even been launched yet, due to lack of information from the province, is totally inappropriate and unjust.”

NDP Leader Marit Stiles, for her part, said “there’s a lot of opposition still to the 413 and to the development and paving over of the Greenbelt.”

“So I’m happy to see the federal government step forward and actually get involved. I think it’s really important,” she said.
 

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