With all of the freight yards North of the 401, why would they even want to go through the city? Or am I missing something?
I'm sure they have their pro's and con's list.
I'm sure that in a perfect world they would like to not have a city as a neighbour, but that's only one factor. In the end, it comes down to money.
The CN Bypass in Halton/Peel makes sense because it would leave CN with a shorter route with less grades. So the main thing standing in the way of CN's endorsement is the purchase price, and getting CN comfortable that it will be cheaper to operate and offer enough capacity for the long term.
We don't know if a bypass would ease grades and reduce overall track investment for CP (I suspect it would, because the climb from Yonge to Agincourt is a fair grade also). But the North Toronto line represents very expensive real estate. So even if CP got a better route, for free, they would likely prefer to sell the old ROW to developers instead of to the Province for continued rail use. Developers would offer more money than the taxpayer will. And again, how much capacity will the new line offer over the longer term?
Another consideration: Toronto is not the only city wanting CP to move its tracks. CP has only so much managerial horsepower to project manage these moves. Doing Toronto at the same time that they are doing Winnipeg, or Calgary, or wherever, is problemmatic. Where is the incentive for CP to tie its managerial brains up doing the bypass?
This picture from Ray Kennedy's Old Time Trains website adds a further dimension. Note who was here first : CP, not the city.
At the end of the day, I'm sure CP would jump at the offer if the price were right. That "right price" would probably make the taxpayer gag. And there's the obstacle.
- Paul