Rainforest
Senior Member
Rainforest
Theoretically, anything can remain unfinished due to a shortage of funds. Subway can, LRT can ... and I can run out of coins in my wallet while trying to buy a cup of coffee.
But if we try to estimate the numbers in the Eglinton subway versus LRT case :
LRT: first portion Jane to Don Mills (including the tunnel up to Laird) 2.5 B; Jane to Pearson 0.6 B, Don Mills to Kennedy 0.4 B.
Subway: first portion Jane to Don Mills 3 B; Jane to Pearson 1.8 B, Don Mills to Kennedy 1.2 B.
The numbers are rough of course, and based on comparison with the per km costs of similar projects.
The point is that the each "flank" of the LRT route costs in the range of a local area's improvement. The stakeholders can submit a proposal several times, with little concern for the rest of network, and eventually the funds will be granted.
In contrast, each "flank" of the subway route not only costs much more, but will trigger scrutiny from other parts of the city, and demands to give them some improvements as well. The starts must be aligned very well for the subway line to get finished, unless the whole funding has already been committed before the start of construction.
This is an unwarranted assumption. We don't even know the full cost of LRT yet, so how can you say the funding is virtually guaranteed, but for a subway it isn't? That makes virtually zero sense.
Theoretically, anything can remain unfinished due to a shortage of funds. Subway can, LRT can ... and I can run out of coins in my wallet while trying to buy a cup of coffee.
But if we try to estimate the numbers in the Eglinton subway versus LRT case :
LRT: first portion Jane to Don Mills (including the tunnel up to Laird) 2.5 B; Jane to Pearson 0.6 B, Don Mills to Kennedy 0.4 B.
Subway: first portion Jane to Don Mills 3 B; Jane to Pearson 1.8 B, Don Mills to Kennedy 1.2 B.
The numbers are rough of course, and based on comparison with the per km costs of similar projects.
The point is that the each "flank" of the LRT route costs in the range of a local area's improvement. The stakeholders can submit a proposal several times, with little concern for the rest of network, and eventually the funds will be granted.
In contrast, each "flank" of the subway route not only costs much more, but will trigger scrutiny from other parts of the city, and demands to give them some improvements as well. The starts must be aligned very well for the subway line to get finished, unless the whole funding has already been committed before the start of construction.