Occam’s Razor says that the physically capable city/state which offers the best short-term financial incentive concomitant with the best long-term corporate tax structure shall "win" this latest Bezos accounting 3-Card Monty game. "Follow the money" never fails in the world of business and politics.
If there is, in fact, an Olympics-style RFP and dog-and-pony roadshow process which carries images of that bug-eyed freak Bezos intently nodding with earnest focus as various mayors, governors and the usual hanger-ons from high-tax states wax poetically about their region’s fine culture, arts, diversity and intellectual capability then I’d love to witness it just for the embarrassing fakeness of it all.
Amazon is inherently a tax-arbitrage hedge fund at it’s core. Bezos used the archaic interstate commerce laws to pull the rug under the large retailers in the country – who are all run by dumber than rocks Corporate Ladder dinosaurs – with the advent of the internet by simply offering the products that the retailers offered on their shelves for the discount equivalent to the sales tax. We all used Amazon a few years ago because it saved us the sales tax. We all use today because we’re too lazy to drive to Target or Best Buy to deal with the parking lots and check-out lines.
Now that the sales tax loophole has closed and the retailers are all losing market share and equity, Bezos has two things to focus on: 1) Purchase the brick-and-mortor retailers that he needed in the past to do the marketing, and 2) To reduce the corporate tax obligation that exists by being wholly HQ’ed in Seattle.
The obvious answer will be something like Austin or Delaware. Austin gives him the nice tax treatment, a faux Liberal hipster vibe like Seattle and presence in a Red state. Delaware gives him nice tax treatment, corporate shenanigans benefits, access to the Eastern power centers, and is close to his zombie journalists at the WaPo.