....frankly I can't see how the Liberals can ever win a majority government again if the bloc holds in Quebec.
The Bloc does not appear to have been elected on the basis of sovereignty/nationalism; but rather by way of supporting Bill 21 and opposing pipelines.
I don't expect there to be any pipeline issue after this election. TMX will or won't happen and that will be the end for new pipelines for a generation, or longer.
Bill 21 will depend on what happens in the courts and any Federal or provincial responses.
If the Quebec courts strike down the bill; I think Quebecers will be fine w/it.
If it goes to the Supreme Court that will be more of a source of friction, should the court strike the law down.
I frankly expect the secularization bill to slowly whither. Support is much lower among younger Quebecers and amongst urban and post-secondary educated Quebecers.
The natural shifts of time will likely erode the bill if nothing else; and the Liberals in Quebec (still the 2nd largest party) provincially, have to oppose it since their base on the Island of Montreal does.
Short of a CAQ dynasty the law is unlikely to last 10 years anyway; but I suspect it may be neutered before then.
At which point the BQ slides back into irrelevancy. Or so I would hope.
