2011 Federal Election Result Predictions

[urbandreamer]

1) Hyperbolic Cynicism

2) Hyperbolic Cynicism

3) Hyperbolic Cynicism

4) Hyperbolic Cynicism

The parties have real platforms that go beyond cynicism.

I hope people in Ontario and Atlantic Canada realize they need to stick with the Liberals to avoid a vote split, then maybe the NDP surge in Quebec (where Conservatives aren't the competition) can allow for a coalition. If not, we're going to have a Harper majority.

Not impressed with your sense of humour!

 

[nfitz]

Given some of the numbers, they *could*, esp. if a lot of those seats are under-40% ones in Quebec and the Tories waste their advantage on over-70% seats in Alberta...

There's way too many Conservative safe seats - this election at least. Outside the urban areas in Quebec, NDP are very thin on the ground. Tories will still take many, if not most, Ontario ridings; NDP is polling a bit better in Ontario but Tories - and Liberals - are still strong here as well, outside of GTA.

 

[JWBF]

Liberals: 126
Conservatives: 89
Bloc: 57
NDP: 32
Green: 4

Good thing I don't do this for a living.

 

[ungodlycrosscheck]

^Even the folks who do this for a living had a hard time predicting the results too.

 

[GenerationW]

I was going to predict a Conservative majority on this thread, but I refrained after seeing everyone else predict another minority government. So at the risk of looking foolish, I'll jump the gun and predict a Hudak majority this October. It's his to lose.

 

[MetroMan]

Not so fast GW. You have to agree that the Conservatives won so many seats in Ontario because of the almost universal vote split between the NDP/Liberals...

The same cannot be said for Ontario's NDP. Jack Layton was a major part of the popularity of the party. I still have trouble remembering who the leader of the Ontario NDP is. This is going to be a fight between McGuinty and Hudak and while the Conservatives may win, they'll be nowhere near a majority.

 

[LAz]

Great election. Great results. The opposition parties have more votes than ever before.

I don't consider the liberals opposition, but quiet supporters of the destructive conservatives.

 

[adma]

Not so fast GW. You have to agree that the Conservatives won so many seats in Ontario because of the almost universal vote split between the NDP/Liberals...

The same cannot be said for Ontario's NDP. Jack Layton was a major part of the popularity of the party. I still have trouble remembering who the leader of the Ontario NDP is. This is going to be a fight between McGuinty and Hudak and while the Conservatives may win, they'll be nowhere near a majority.

*However*, who knows whether the Ontario successes, near-successes and proofs-of-viability may have "loosened up" the potential provincial NDP vote a little--esp. in the ethnoburbia where they won one seat and nearly won another. Think of the 2008 Nova Scotia election which followed in the footsteps of Alexa McDonough's 2007 federal breakthrough...