zang
Senior Member
Okay, so you don't have anything to back it up. Check.
|
|
|
2023 Toronto Mayoral by-election
- Thread starter SJD_Toronto
- Start date
Admiral Beez
Superstar
Don't take the bait. One of our greatest powers is to let those we disdain have the last word. They mistakenly feel they’ve won some sort of debate when in reality their utterances have become meaningless.
FastidiousHack
New Member
Just voted, super easy, steady flow of people to do the same at my local community centre.
I wanted to wait until election day to see how polls changed last minute. I've been a fan of Motlow's platform, but Chow is something that Matlow isn't: a a frontrunner that can beat Bailão or Saunders.
If I was mayor:
I wanted to wait until election day to see how polls changed last minute. I've been a fan of Motlow's platform, but Chow is something that Matlow isn't: a a frontrunner that can beat Bailão or Saunders.
If I was mayor:
- I'd like to see Toronto invest more into city services like transit, shelters, and affordable housing.
- I want many more trees, bikelanes, and street patios, and widespread midrise and missing middle.
- Ontario Place, and Billy Bishop, and the rest of Toronto Island should be public parkland accessible by pedestrian bridges.
- Property taxes on single family homes are too low - sprawl should subsidize efficient density, not the other way around.
- The development application process and taxes are a mess. It shouldn't be as hard and expensive as it is to build housing.
- We, collectively, need to do something about getting more people in skilled trades.
- Lastly, the Gardner Expressway is the stupidest thing I've ever seen in a city, and should be torn down and redesigned as a world class urban boulevard. If the province wants a highway through downtown, they can build it underground, and they can pay for it.
C
christiesplits
Guest
Any predictions for voter turnout? Keep in mind by-election turnout is usually lower than general elections. Mind you, last October's election was VERY low. Could tonight buck the trend?
Previous turnouts:
2022 - 29.2%
2018 - 40.9%
2014 - 54.7%
2010 - 50.6%
2006 - 39.3%
2003 - 38.3%
Previous turnouts:
2022 - 29.2%
2018 - 40.9%
2014 - 54.7%
2010 - 50.6%
2006 - 39.3%
2003 - 38.3%
GenerationW
Senior Member
I advance voted for Bailão under the assumptions that Chow wins comfortably and that Bailão has the best chance of finishing second ahead of Saunders. The less momentum that troglodyte builds for 2026, the better.
christiesplits
Senior Member
If Chow wins and Bailao comes up short by a few percentage points, I can see her running again in 2026. Alternatively, if Chow wins by a large margin, say 10%+, I could see McKelvie being the centre/centre-right flag bearer in 2026.
Admiral Beez
Superstar
GenerationW
Senior Member
Three high profile candidates, and the desire of many to move on from the Rob Ford debacle.
nfitz
Superstar
The Star reported that the advanced turnout was up 12% from 2022, so I'd guess about 34% total.
If I can do math, about 30% of the total ballots in 2022 were cast in the advanced poll - which closed a couple of weeks ago. If there has been a shift to Bailão in the last few days, this really could increase the hurdle she needs to overcome. It will be interesting to compare the advanced results to the election day results.
christiesplits
Senior Member
I'm curious if the boost in advanced turnout was from voters who are out of town on election day? We will find out in a few hours.
Admiral Beez
Superstar
Today's weather might have kept some people home.
nfitz
Superstar
Possibly - on the other hand, school is still in session this week.
It's been sunny or dry most of the day. I don't think one mid-day storm would make much difference!
I walked past my polling station, and there was a steady stream of people walking to it from all directions.
afransen
Senior Member
What we need to effect this is a land value tax. Tax the land value of property at some multiple of the rate on improvements--4x has been done in other jurisdictions with success.
DSC
Superstar
Member Bio
- Joined
- Jan 13, 2008
- Messages
- 18,762
- Reaction score
- 25,709
- Location
- St Lawrence Market Area
The Star has just published a poll tracker. https://www.thestar.com/news/city_h...ral-election-see-the-latest-poll-results.html
Let's hope it means we will hear less (or nothing) of Councillor Bradford in future (and never hear again from Councillor Perruzza or former Councillor Mammoliti) and that Mr Saunders finally realises that his time as Police Chief is not something to boast of.
Let's hope it means we will hear less (or nothing) of Councillor Bradford in future (and never hear again from Councillor Perruzza or former Councillor Mammoliti) and that Mr Saunders finally realises that his time as Police Chief is not something to boast of.
afransen
Senior Member
If Toronto were interested in former police chiefs becoming mayor, I'd think Bill Blair would have more luck.
It's really not obvious to me that a police chief is a good qualification for being mayor. I tend to think they have a very warped worldview--police tend to have very strange ideas vs "civilians".