I'm optimistic, but only over a much longer timeframe, and when the system is finally extended to more places. I can't imagine the system making much (any?) money in its present configuration.
Florida's highway system is reaching a crippling level of congestion. The state is politically opposed to generating tax revenue, so few new highways will get built. As that worsens, people will eventually look for alternatives.
Brightline's biggest problem is the absolute absence of first-mile/last-mile solutions. Many local transit services only offer hourly service, half-hourly in rush hour. Florida's urban areas are so spread out that first-mile really means first-20 mile.
It's a harsh market environment, but rail is so much cheaper than highway construction that the scales will tip eventually. Especially if Brightline can expand further.
- Paul