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TTC: Sheppard Subway Expansion (Speculative)

Because this will be done by a PPP, perhaps they will trim the fat around the public consultation process, potentially shortening the exhaustingly long timeline between conception and the start of construction. I'm not a fan of the plan, and I'm sure the business case will be a sham, but I'm interested to see in how they deal with public consultation. Will they get bogged down with the usual soapboxers, will they filter it through to allow for informed opinions to be taken into account, or will it be a completely closed-door process? Time will tell.
From my own experiences, public consultation is nothing more than a political goodwill exercise. Any planner worth their weight should know the general concerns that the public will raise (foot routes, noise pollution, NIMBYism, etc). Very rarely will public consultation vary the core of a project, only minor details in particular spots, as the reasons for things being the way they are generally overrule any specific exemption.

They cannot shorten the public consultation process beyond the 6 month Transit EA, which is mandated by law. It'll be a closed-door, rubber-stamp process, but the motions must be carried through. The Business Case they'll have to make public in some fashion, or else it'll be a closed-invitation partnership to select companies.
 
Because this will be done by a PPP, perhaps they will trim the fat around the public consultation process, potentially shortening the exhaustingly long timeline between conception and the start of construction. I'm not a fan of the plan, and I'm sure the business case will be a sham, but I'm interested to see in how they deal with public consultation. Will they get bogged down with the usual soapboxers, will they filter it through to allow for informed opinions to be taken into account, or will it be a completely closed-door process? Time will tell.
From my own experiences, public consultation is nothing more than a political goodwill exercise. Any planner worth their weight should know the general concerns that the public will raise (foot routes, noise pollution, NIMBYism, etc). Very rarely will public consultation vary the core of a project, only minor details in particular spots, as the reasons for things being the way they are generally overrule any specific exemption.

They cannot shorten the public consultation process beyond the 6 month Transit EA, which is mandated by law. It'll be a closed-door, rubber-stamp process, but the motions must be carried through. The Business Case they'll have to make public in some fashion, or else it'll be a closed-invitation partnership to select companies.
 
York Centre-Willowdale-Don Valley East-Don Valley West-Eglinton Lawrence and Scarborough Centre. (North York and Scarborough Centre)

-Those riding went to the Conservatives who are now a Majority Government.
-Those riding are along the Eglinton Crosstown/STC Line and the Sheppard line. (Ford's Plan)
-Ford endorsed The Conservatives.

Can we expect more Federal funds for the Sheppard Line?
 
I don't expect a Conservative federal government to spend money on transit infrastructure unless somehow they can turn the entire TTC into a private enterprise run by Conservative supporters. Much of their spending to date has been about stimulus and being in a minority. They are going to need to find savings to pay for more tax cuts and spending a couple of billion on a transit route an NDP "tax and spend" council would spend significantly less on ($1.5 billion or so) would look ridiculous to the core of Conservative supporters which are non-urban and not transit users. Flaherty was a core member of the Mike Harris team that cancelled the Eglinton subway and now he is the federal finance minister in charge of implementing tax cuts and deficit reduction (two uncomplimentary policies). I can't imagine it. The only piece of transportation infrastructure project in the GTA I see them taking on is on the airports front... Pickering Airport and maybe a bridge to the island airport.
 
The Conservatives “Here for Canada” plan focuses on five key priorities:
- Creating jobs through training, trade and low taxes.
- Supporting families through our Family Tax Cut and more support for seniors and caregivers.
- Eliminating the deficit by 2014-2015 by controlling spending and cutting waste.
- Making our streets safe through new laws to protect children and the elderly.
- Standing on guard for Canada by investing in the development of Canada’s North, cracking down on human smuggling and strengthening the Canadian Armed Forces.

In summary:
- Tax cuts.
- Tax cuts.
- Spending cuts.
- Legislation.
- Military spending.
 
Assuming Hudak wins (and everything else falls into place), I could see a scenario where he and Harper contribute something to Sheppard leading up to the 2014 Toronto election.
 
If Hudak wins then conservatives would control all three levels of government. Why would that trigger spending on the socialist expense of providing transportation below cost funded by taxpayers at a higher cost than a left wing council and centrist provincial government was willing to go for? What is the "and everything else falls into place" condition which would trigger 3 conservative governments to team up and be social spenders in a big way? To buy votes in a municipal election where there are no official party affiliations?
 
Assuming Hudak wins (and everything else falls into place), I could see a scenario where he and Harper contribute something to Sheppard leading up to the 2014 Toronto election.
A more likely scenario is that nothing get's offered, the currently $300 million of the feds gets withdrawn, and Eglinton is cancelled.
 
http://www.thestar.com/news/article/984566--james-gta-boosted-tories-but-will-they-return-the-favour

Long considered a pariah in his own hometown, Leaside-born Stephen Harper broke through the Liberal fortress in Toronto to deliver the majority government his Conservative party craved.

In so doing, Harper’s Conservatives won in Toronto for the first time since 1993. But it was the rise of Jack Layton and the New Democratic Party that pushed the Liberals to the brink of irrelevance across the country and left the mighty red machine a weakened shell of itself in Toronto.

Still, the Tories won only a modicum of seats south of Steeles. And no one should mistake this as wedded bliss. Rather, it’s a marriage of convenience — a union sprung from split votes and divided loyalties.

The Harper victory, bolstered in part by the controversial public support from Mayor Rob Ford —Toronto mayors usually watch from the sideline and not endorse a party — sends several messages to the city.

For one, Harper and Ford are aligned in a partnership that might help the mayor deliver on his promise of a subway along Sheppard Ave.

Second, provincial Liberals might expect more of the same from Ford when Ontario goes to the polls in October.

And third, the Conservative march into Ontario continues to move south. Tory blue now dominates the regions around Toronto and has begun to leak into Toronto proper.

For years, Toronto mayors avoided the temptation to publicly endorse a political party in provincial or federal elections. Conventional wisdom suggested it was best to keep one’s options open because relations can become strained if the guy you just finished slamming end up as the premier or the Prime Minister.

Ford, of course, defied convention and travelled to Brampton last week to enthusiastically endorse Harper. His excuse?

Harper “wants to help us build subways.â€

Ford scrapped a provincially approved Transit City plan that was heavy on light rail running down the middle of the street, and replaced it with a subway plan as soon as he took office. Subways cost more and the mayor is short $4 billion. So he intends to go to the private sector to find building partners. But that won’t be enough.

He also dreams of landing a sizeable cheque from Ottawa — the type of largesse that has been missing from the federal government when it comes to transit.

Besides the potential subway money — Harper has not promised a dime, at least in public — Ford is more aligned with Harper’s politics that trumpets tax cuts and smaller government. He said the other parties would send Toronto to the poorhouse with their policies, while Harper will continue efforts to boost public-private partnerships for infrastructure spending, such as subways.

It seems Ford’s gamble paid off. Legitimately, he can expect federal help for Toronto from a Conservative government.


What provincial Liberals may be concerned about is that this election result might embolden Ford Nation to back the Tories in the October provincial election and send the Dalton McGuinty Liberals packing.

As stunning as the Liberal decline was, the ascendancy of the NDP was the story of the election. And that cannot hurt the plight of cities.

Jack Layton, the former Toronto councillor who couldn’t convince his adopted city to make him mayor, captured the hearts of Canadians and is now leader of the opposition with a magnificent performance.

Progressives in Toronto are heartened.

NDP support spilled beyond downtown Toronto into the suburbs of Scarborough, knocking off some stalwart Liberals.

This was the strangest of campaigns for Canada’s largest city. There’s the Tory leader who was born here, doesn’t live here, and has no affinity to the place. The NDP leader who practised his politics here had to find love in Quebec. And the Liberal leader whose enduring political base is decades old here found no footing, and is now tossed to the political garbage heap.

Layton feels Toronto in his bones and knows its nooks and crannies, having served as an exceptional city councillor for years. Yet, it is not here that he got the jolt of support that propelled him to national prominence — a surge that gave this election its only spark and its beat. No, Layton had to go to Quebec for that. Then, Toronto and Ontario followed.

Harper is a Torontonian by birth only. Once, maybe twice, in the campaign, he ventured into the city proper. He doesn’t love Toronto, despite his Leaside birth. And Toronto returns the sentiment.

Still, they gave him enough love to push him into the majority he desperately needed.
 
With Tory majority, Ford anticipates ‘a direct line to Ottawa

http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/0...ford-who-anticipates-a-direct-line-to-ottawa/

Part concerning Sheppard Subway

And now that the victory parties are over, it’s clear the Fords want some help building their coveted subway in Scarborough.

The Mayor is keen to tap a $1.25-billion public-private partnership infrastructure fund to help pay for the proposed Sheppard subway extension and the administration is counting on the federal government continuing to deliver a share of the gas tax.

“I think the Mayor’s involvement in this has been tremendously healthy for the city,†said Councillor David Shiner, who represents Willowdale. “With his endorsement he reached out a hand to the Prime Minister and said we want to work together. He took a large risk because no one knew at that time the outcome of this election… I hope it will be repaid to the city of Toronto now, because we definitely need federal help.â€

Councillor Adam Vaughan, a Ford foe, notes that with Conservative MPs in the subway corridor, Mr. Ford “has probably the best government caucus in the right spot to deliver on the project that he’s most focused on, which is subways.â€

Bernard Trottier, who ousted Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff from Etobicoke-Lakeshore says a “Toronto caucus†will be able to focus on some specific issues that affect the city. “For too long Toronto has been on the outside looking in,†said Mr. Trottier. “I think having a federal voice at that table when it comes to solving municipal issues, and a lot of that has to do with getting people around, various modes of transport really need to be addressed. So, subway issues are something we’re starting to talk to the new city administration about.
 
*cough*Newfoundland and Labrador's Lower Churchill's underwater cable *cough*

I wouldn't be surprised one bit
 
So Ford's mayor and wants to expand the Sheppard subway. If we can have topics for transit city lines, I figure why not have this too. :D



Only recently did I notice that he also wants to expand it westwards.

What impact might this have on traffic jams along the 401?

Don't forget the Spadina line extension to Vaughan when considering the impact of a westward expansion of the sheppard line. Someone in Vaughan would be able to get to the Yonge line (anywhere north of St Clair) or Scarbourgh CC far more easily - or the other way around after the inevitable density of offices comes around the Vaughan subway stop. This will help 401 traffic somewhat.
 

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