In my written submission to TTC Commissioners and the EA Process, I stated at no time could TTC or York Region could come up with the numbers that the line would carry a peak time on opening day to the point I said they would be Lucky to see 1,500 riders. Based on various numbers, York Region would need 15% yearly increase to meet 8,000 riders by 2030 and still below the thresh hold for a subway.
Based on numbers from day 1, service would be every 10-15 minutes at peak time to be carry north of Steeles and would fall to 6 minutes by 2030 at best.
An BRT will handle the ridership north of Steeles, but I call for an LRT in place of the BRT.
The extension of the Yonge Line north of Finch to Steeles is needed now and will save everyone one time and money now, that it justify the building of the extension sooner than later with provision to store trains overnight up there.
Regardless if you put all the the items on the Yonge Line call for, it will still be overcrowded by 2040/50 that you are back to the current problems to the point you need another Yonge Line. This includes an true DRL.
The opening of the Spadina Extension will have no effect as a DRL line as its will never carry the ridership of an Yonge line since the balk of the ridership is from the east of Yonge St in the first place. It is to service the 400 hwy drivers so they don't have to drive into the city core as stated by MTO.
An REX will off set some ridership, but not as much as Tory thinks, as not everyone is going downtown in the first place. This is a fault methodology that everyone is going downtown and it applies right across the the GTA. Its like everyone wants to go to Sq One Mall and are force to do so to transfer to another route when they want to bypass it in the first place to get to where they want to go faster. Or a person in Burlington or Oakville who want to go to Georgetown or Markham, they must go into Toronto to get the service they need since there is none today to get them to where they want to go in the first place.
At no time in the original EA process, could we make a case for a subway on the Waterfront. The best was an LRT even though an BRT would work on day one east of Yonge St.
The Bremner portal is east of York St near the square to go under the ACC and it will have an impact on current crowds and events there as well not justifying the need for a line on Bremner in the first place. The square would be effect 100% of the time as this would be the only way traffic could make a U-turn to get out of the buildings in the area, especially the Maple Leaf Condo Towers to the south.
The Bremner line has already lost part of the Western Waterfront route with the building of the Fort York Visitor centre. The number of cars TTC wanted to bring off Bathurst St doesn't justify the need for the Bremner line in the first place. Also, it will have an impact on both QQ east & West lines as well the 510. Even if you move 510 to the Bremner Line, it will still cause an impact on operation for "ALL" lines.