With reference to Garry Marr’s Financial Post article referred to in Gump’s post (quoted), and the reported $225,000,000 for the One Yonge Street site: ‘One industry developer said the land could be worth as much as $70 to $75 per buildable square foot in today’s real estate market. “It’s a big lot, so we are talking very big numbers,” said the developer.’
Playing with some numbers: With a land cost of $75 per buildable square foot of net sellable space, the project would need to contain 3,000,000 square feet of condominium space to cover the $225,000,000. The 3,000,000 square feet would not include infrastructure and common element components , just what could be sold to customers. Hallways and corridors, lobbies, amenity space, elevator shafts, air shafts, electrical and mechanical rooms, parking spaces and lockers, etc. would all be on top of the 3,000,000. I am guessing that the overall building efficiency would be in the 75% to 80% range (in other words, 75% to 80% of the total building floor space ends usable sellable condominium space), meaning the total floor space (including basements) would need to be in the range of 3,750,000 – 4,000,000 square feet. I do not know what the typical ratios would be for a downtown building – I am just guessing – if someone could provide more accurate numbers – please let me know.
From what I recall, the City’s guideline for residential towers is for a footprint in the order of 7,500 – 8,000 square feet per floor. Allowing for several floors of basement (spanning the entire complex) – in the order of 400,000 to 500,000 square feet, that would result in 3,350,000 to 3,500,000 of ground level and above ground space. Ignoring for now the larger floor plates of the podium floors, at 8,000 square feet per floor, the result would be approximately 437 floors of space to be built on the One Yonge Street parking lot.
Tentative conclusions:
1. Reported purchase price is not accurate, or
2. Cost per buildable square foot of sellable condominium space is going to be a lot more than $75 per square foot,
3. If the purchase price is indeed $225,000,000 and the anticipated selling prices is in the range of $75 per buildable square foot, this is going to be one monster development, with a combination of very tall, very large footprint towers, and probable a very large podium. Or finally,
4. There is something very wonky with either my math or my assumptions.
Am I missing something here – could this site support a development with these parameters?