nightstreak
Active Member
This doesn't seem at all realistic. There's always going to be a certain group of passengers who will need to travel from one side of the "divide" to the other, and despite the mixed traffic stretch, there's no way it will be more economical, time wise, to get out, travel into the deep caverns Metrolinx calls stations, wait for a train, then climb out of said cavern elsewhere and wait for another vehicle to resume their journey, unless there is a massive surface disruption.
We've begun to see a move away from this hard line of thinking of Yonge as being an impenetrable boundary with the 996 Wilson Express being extended all the way into Scarborough, it would be a big step backwards to start doing that with the streetcar lines now, especially with the idea that there would be no surface transit, period, between Bathurst and Victoria. Not everyone will be able to walk the distances between those stations.
At most, what I could see happening is two routes/branches with overlapping segments, like they did with the 504, say, Neville - Bathurst and Humber - Parliament, or something to that effect.
Having multiple transit options is good.
Torontonians' mental transit routing is hardcoded for streetcars as "long distance" but streetcars aren't adequate for long distance unless they're in a dedicated ROW and I don't think you're expecting Queen Street to become a dedicated streetcar ROW nor should be expecting the 501 to maintain its frequency, running directly above a subway route. The demand to fill a large vehicle at today's frequency will not be there. Looking back today, taking the 501 across a huge distance in mixed traffic is going to seem insane when there are much faster connections underground in the future.
We default to a streetcar cross town because there hasn't ever been a rapid and comfortable cross downtown route. See how many people quickly migrated from nearby (and not so nearby) routes to the 504 during the King Street Pilot (nearly 100,000 a day when the median had been 55-60K). The same will happen when a cross downtown subway becomes a viable alternative.
The role of downtown streetcars is going to evolve into filling in the blanks in the system, connecting the subway network to voids between stations, overlapping but not paralleling the line. See Spadina 510. Thought of as a N-S line but connects Line 2 (Spadina station) then travels W-E to Line 1 (Union) via Queens Quay or Bathurst 511 that will connect Line 2 (Bathurst), to Line 3 (King-Bathurst) to Line 3 again (Exhibition) — another N-S > W-E route.
I can see the 501 evolving into 2 routes 501-E and 501-W that loop through the Ontario line in both E-W and N-S directions like Bathurst 511 and Spadina 510, filling in the blanks downtown while the subway serves the purpose of longer distance hops to different parts of the city where you'd get on a streetcar or bus for more local destinations.
This might not happen on day one but as rider routing behaviour changes, the perpetually cash-strapped TTC is going to be hard pressed to maintain a large vehicle running parallel to a subway line.