diminutive
Active Member
You couldn't be more wrong. China is overbuilding to a degree matched by no one. Tens of millions of apartments sit empty and entire cities are ghost towns except for the cranes on the horizons. It can be considered a make work project to keep citizens employed and the economy turning.
The 'Chinese ghost city' meme is pretty much a phenomenon of the internet. Outside of Ordos I haven't seen any big evidence of 'ghost cities', and nothing anywhere along the populated coastal regions. (Ordos is in Mongolia).
Again, 300m people are expected to move to Chinese cities, most of which are already overpopulated by our standards. Proportionately, looking at Ordos and arguing that China is plagued by 'ghost towns' would akin to saying Toronto is overbuilding because a subdivision in Sudbury is empty. There's urbanization here on a scale which is soo far beyond anything experienced in North America or Europe. Even an authoritarian system like China, which tries very much to limit or slow this migration, has to go to drastic steps to ensure a huge expansion of the housing supply.
From our perspective it looks like an authoritarian government stepping on local property rights to go ahead with massively out of proportion housing developments, Le Corbusier on roids. And it is. But it would totally impossible to tell these 300million peasants that they can't move to cities and get rich(er) because of some kind of Jane Jacobsian view of what a city should be like.
The same thing happened in other East Asian cities when they went through their rural-urban shift. Grantham launched Hong Kong's massive housing developments in response to the Shek Kip Mei fire, but underlying that was massive overpopulation and a resulting sociopolitical instability which could only be fixed through a kind of Corbusier-scaled public housing drive. Same for Singapore, where home ownership is (correctly) seen by the government as necessary to maintain sociopolitical stability and is achieved through Corbusier-scale development.
North America for its part opted for a huge expansion of suburban subdivision. And while the dominant, post Jacobs, view of that is largely negative for many good reasons, it seems implausible that our own rural-urban migration and baby boom could have been accommodated within a Jacobsian urban context. Not everyone was going to fit into the Annex or Greenwhich Village without destroying them.
P.S. Just to be very clear, I'm sure the Chinese planning process is utter crap and much corruption exists. Make work projects and other kinds of clientelistic patterns. Nonetheless, the argument I was responding too (that urban development in China proceeds recklessly and to the detriment of urban fabric) has a huge amount of unknowing first-world-privilege built into it; any Chinese regime which wanted to avoid shantytowns and keep up with migration will be forced to build on an unprecedented scale. And yes, it is pure Western privilege that lets someone think luxuries promoted by Vaughan and such should be prioritized in China over a massive housing expansion.
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